The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestri Levante 25.9%
Draw 29.3%
Vis Pesaro 44.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.1%
28.7%
30.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.4%
30.3%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sestri Levante's form might have worsened.
Vis Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vis Pesaro's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sestri Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (-16.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vis Pesaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sestri Levante - Vis Pesaro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Anacoura J. (G) 4. Pane M. 5. Valentini N. 95. Primasso A. 43. Montebugnoli M. 28. Giorno F. 86. Raggio G. S. 25. Nunziatini F. 3. Furno C. 9. Parravicini N. 10. Clemenza L.
22. Vukovic A. (G) 6. Palomba L. 4. Bove D. 26. Coppola F. 13. Neri G. M. 30. Orellana C. 17. Paganini L. 77. Afonso Peixoto 7. Pucciarelli M. 9. Nicastro F. 34. Cannavo K.
Substitutes
37. Brugognone G. 6. Brunet J. 33. Calloni R. 22. Fusco E. (G) 23. Nenci O. 14. Oneto E. 19. Pavanello A. 18. Rosetti M. 12. Sias F. (G)
15. Ceccacci M. 16. D'Innocenzo F. 10. Di Paola M. 23. Forte M. 21. Gambino G. 12. Mariani M. (G) 1. Munari M. (G) 8. Nina C. 20. Obi J. 90. Okoro A. 5. Tonucci D. 99. Zocchi S. (G) 3. Zoia R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Neri G. M. ↓, Palomba L. ↑,
28', Bove D. 🟨,
30', Nicastro F. 🟨,
43', Furno C. 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Paganini L. ⚽,
49', Afonso Peixoto ↓, Di Paola M. ↑,
53', Primasso A. ↓, Brugognone G. ↑,
54', Raggio G. S. ↓, Giorno F. ↑,
57', Parravicini N. 🟨,
62', Palomba L. 🟨,
64', Coppola F. 🟨,
65', 1 - 1, Parravicini N. ⚽,
73', Parravicini N. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
78', 🟨,
83', Montebugnoli M. ↓, Nenci O. ↑,
83', Conti F. ↓, Oneto E. ↑,
83', Cannavo K. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
87', Coppola F. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,
90+5', Giorno F. 🟨,
90+7', Okoro A. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Sestri Levante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Vis Pesaro will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2
Italy
Watch
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Anacoura J. (G) 
Valentini N. 
Vukovic A. (G) 
Afonso Peixoto 
Forte M. 
Obi J. 
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