Match Info

Serie D - Group A - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante) 🌤️ ...


	Sestri Levante		Imperia

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.2	3.8
	1.9	3.35	3.75	Watch
	1.86	3.28	3.86
	1.92	3.25	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)	3.27 ↓ (3.33)	3.77 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
48.2%

Draw
27.7%

Imperia
24.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

26.1%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Imperia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imperia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Sestri Levante - Imperia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sestri Levante (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Klimavicius A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Salducco V. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 3 - 0, Lunghi G. ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 0, Masini F. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 9).

Sestri Levante has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Imperia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Sestri Levante is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sestri Levante won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:1. (average 3.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Sestri Levante won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Imperia	9	4	2	3	13:11	2	14
16	Sestri Levante	9	2	3	4	7:10	-3	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Varese - Sestri Levante	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Sestri Levante - Derthona	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Saluzzo - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Unione Sanremo - Sestri Levante	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Sestri Levante - Celle Varazze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW
- ASD Imperia
Italian Serie D - Group A
18.01.26	Imperia - Club Milano	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Imperia - Saluzzo	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Varese - Imperia	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Celle Varazze - Imperia	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Imperia - Derthona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
24.09.25	Imperia - Sestri Levante	0:5
03.04.22	Imperia - Sestri Levante	1:3
20.11.21	Sestri Levante - Imperia	1:0
07.03.21	Sestri Levante - Imperia	6:0

Sestri Levante - Imperia