Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 26

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Giuseppe Sivori (Sestri Levante)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, Sky Sport 256


	Sestri Levante		Pianese

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.4
	2.81	3.16	2.56
				Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.5
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.19)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	2.49 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sestri Levante
33.1%

Draw
30.2%

Pianese
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

28.9%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

28.6%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sestri Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pianese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestri Levante than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pianese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sestri Levante - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Guadagno J. (G) 27. Podda L. 4. Pane M. 5. Valentini N. 3. Furno C. 58. Fedele M. 6. Brunet J. 18. Rosetti M. 7. Durmush M. 10. Clemenza L. 77. Piu A.	12. Boer P. (G) 56. Masetti L. 28. Indragoli G. 23. Nicoli S. 7. Da Pozzo L. 8. Simeoni L. 21. Colombo M. 30. Proietto F. 29. Bacchin L. 10. Mastropietro F. 9. Mignani G.
Substitutes
11. Cominetti M. 29. Di Giorgio R. 22. Fusco E. (G) 17. Goglino P. A. 43. Montebugnoli M. 25. Nunziatini F. 14. Oneto E. 19. Pavanello A. 70. Piazza D. 95. Primasso A. 12. Sias F. (G)	67. Barbetti F. 24. Chesti F. 73. Falleni A. 1. Filippis E. (G) 27. Frey D. 91. Galanti G. 99. Marchesi F. 19. Nardi N. 5. Pacciardi F. 44. Pietrosanti Cristiano 22. Reali A. (G) 25. Spinosa L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Rosetti M. ⚽,
24', Rosetti M. 🟨,
45', Piu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 1 - 1, Mignani G. ⚽,
55', Colombo M. 🟨,
58', Brunet J. 🟨,
59', Fedele M. ↓, Di Giorgio R. ↑,
60', Clemenza L. ↓, Cominetti M. ↑,
62', Colombo M. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
74', Durmush M. 🟨,
77', Mastropietro F. ↓, Frey D. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Frey D. ⚽,
85', Valentini N. ↓, Goglino P. A. ↑,
88', Proietto F. ↓, Marchesi F. ↑,
89', Podda L. ↓, Pavanello A. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Rosetti M. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 3, Marchesi F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Sestri Levante is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Pianese is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sestri Levante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 42.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Sestri Levante 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.25	Sassari Torres - Sestri Levante	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Sestri Levante - Legnago Salus	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	SPAL - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Sestri Levante - Pontedera	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Pineto - Sestri Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTLL
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
02.02.25	Pianese - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Virtus Entella - Pianese	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pianese - Pescara	3:2 ✺
12.01.25	Campobasso - Pianese	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Pianese - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
29.09.24	Pianese - Sestri Levante	0:1

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