Match Info

Date: 26 July 2020, Sunday


	Setúbal		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.75	4.75
	1.72	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.7
	1.72	3.79	5.13
	1.67	3.7	5.25	Watch
	1.74	3.84	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.64)	3.7 ↓ (3.81)	4.93 ↓ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Setúbal
55.4%

Draw
25.5%

BSAD
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

24.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

15%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Setúbal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Setúbal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BSAD than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BSAD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.8%	4.2%	10%

Setúbal - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: Setúbal will win (206 of 240 users predict this - 85.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.42% – 90.24%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
21.07.20	Sporting Lisbon - Setúbal	0:0 ✺
13.07.20	Setúbal - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
08.07.20	Aves - Setúbal	1:0 ✺
04.07.20	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
30.06.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TLLLL
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
19.07.20	BSAD - Gil Vicente	1:0 ✺
15.07.20	Braga - BSAD	1:1 ✺
11.07.20	BSAD - Moreirense	0:1 ✺
05.07.20	Porto - BSAD	5:0 ✺
01.07.20	BSAD - Tondela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
18.01.20	BSAD - Setúbal	0:1
11.02.19	Setúbal - BSAD	0:0
01.09.18	BSAD - Setúbal	0:0
05.02.18	Setúbal - BSAD	3:0
25.08.17	BSAD - Setúbal	1:1
22.01.17	BSAD - Setúbal	1:2
14.08.16	Setúbal - BSAD	2:0

Setúbal - BSAD: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide