Match Info

Date: 21 July 2020, Tuesday


	Sporting Lisbon		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.42	4.4	7.25
	1.42	4.25	7.5
	1.42	4.4	7.4
	1.42	4.63	8.1
	1.38	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.41	4.7	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.41)	4.48 ↑ (4.48)	7.72 ↓ (7.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
66.8%

Draw
21%

Setúbal
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

21%

12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

79.1%

17.8%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	3.1%	10.2%

Sporting Lisbon - Setúbal Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (85 of 98 users predict this - 86.73%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.01% – 93.45%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
15.07.20	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	2:0 ✺
10.07.20	Sporting Lisbon - Santa Clara	1:0 ✺
06.07.20	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:0 ✺
01.07.20	Sporting Lisbon - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
26.06.20	BSAD - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWW
- Vitoria Setúbal
Liga Portugal
13.07.20	Setúbal - Famalicão	1:2 ✺
08.07.20	Aves - Setúbal	1:0 ✺
04.07.20	Setúbal - Paços de Ferreira	2:3 ✺
30.06.20	Vitoria Guimarães - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
23.06.20	Setúbal - Rio Ave	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
11.01.20	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon	1:3
30.01.19	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon	1:1
18.08.18	Sporting Lisbon - Setúbal	2:1
Portuguese League Cup
27.01.18	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon	1:2 penalties
Liga Portugal
19.01.18	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon	1:1
11.08.17	Sporting Lisbon - Setúbal	1:0
14.04.17	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon	0:3

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