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Current Win Probability
Braga 78.5%
Draw 14.4%
BSAD 7.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
81.3%
13.2%
5.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
79.2%
12.5%
8.3%
Braga - BSAD Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 38 - 79.2%). BSAD will win (votes: 4 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 67.7% โ 90.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).
Braga has the most likely position - 4 (56.45%), has project points - 60, has currently - 25, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (32.57%), has project points - 28, has currently - 8, has a good chance of relegated (55%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Belenenses could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Braga is certain favorite.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Braga won 12 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 45-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Braga won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 29-9.