The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 51.1%
Draw 27%
Fenerbahçe 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.3%
23.4%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.3%
26.1%
14.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.
Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+16.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fenerbahçe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
65.4%
11.5%
23.1%
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Predictions
Users Predictions:
104 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 68 - 65.4%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 24 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 11.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 56.3% – 74.5%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Sevilla was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (48%), has a chance of semis (19%), has a small chance of final (7%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Fenerbahçe was already of knockout phase, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (52%), has a chance of semis (21%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality66, importance61, match rating64. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Sevilla is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fenerbahçe in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Sevilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Sevilla is a favorite.
There will not play in Sevilla: Bade L.
(Knee Injury)
Gueye P.
(Inactive)
Marcao
(Muscle Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alioski E.
(Muscle Injury)
Dursun S.
(Muscle Injury)
Gustavo Henrique
(Muscle Injury)
Luan Peres
(Muscle Injury)
Sangare N.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Sevilla: Corona J.
(Leg Injury)
Rekik K.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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