Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 29 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports
Hungary	Sport 2
Netherlands	RTL 7
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Sevilla		PSV Eindhoven

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.4
	2.8	3.5	2.4
	2.82	3.7	2.42	Watch
	2.86	3.71	2.49
	2.84	3.71	2.47
	2.7	3.7	2.3
	2.79	3.74	2.39
	2.8	3.55	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.51)	3.65 ↑ (3.48)	2.42 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
34.2%

Draw
26.2%

PSV Eindhoven
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.2%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.8%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

PSV Eindhoven has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSV Eindhoven than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for PSV Eindhoven, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	10.3%	51.3%

Sevilla - PSV Eindhoven Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 15 - 38.5%). PSV will win (votes: 20 - 51.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSV: 35.6% – 67%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dmitrovic M. (G) 16. Navas J. (C) 6. Gudelj N. 4. Ramos S. 19. Acuna M. 18. Sow D. 20. Fernando 10. Rakitic I. 5. Ocampos L. 15. En Nesyri Y. 11. Lukebakio D.	1. Benitez W. (G) 3. Teze J. 5. Ramalho A. 18. Boscagli O. 8. Dest S. 20. Til G. 22. Schouten J. 23. Veerman J. 11. Bakayoko J. 9. de Jong L. (C) 27. Lozano H.
Substitutes
33. Arbol M. (G) 28. Bueno M. 12. Diaz M. 31. Flores A. (G) 2. Gattoni F. 8. Jordan J. 9. Mir R. 14. Nianzou T. 3. Pedrosa A. 27. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 21. Torres O.	26. Babadi I. 16. Drommel J. (G) 17. Mauro Junior 4. Obispo A. 14. Pepi R. 34. Saibari I. 2. Sambo S. 10. Tillman M. 30. van Aanholt P. 32. Vertessen Y. 24. Waterman B. (G)
Coaches
Alonso D.	Bosz P.

Preview

Recent matches Sevilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

PSV is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

PSV could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sevilla have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Sevilla: Bade L. (Muscle Injury) Lamela E. (Injury) Nyland O. (Muscle Injury) Soumare B. (Ankle Injury) Suso (Muscle Injury) Vacas A. P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PSV: Bella-Kotchap A. (Shoulder Injury) Lang N. (Lacking Match Fitness) Mauro Junior (Knee Injury) Obispo A. (Knee Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Real Sociedad - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
12.11.23	Sevilla - Betis	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Arsenal - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Celta de Vigo - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Quintanar de la Orden - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTW
- PSV Eindhoven
Dutch Eredivisie
25.11.23	Twente - PSV Eindhoven	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.11.23	PSV Eindhoven - Schalke 04	0:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
12.11.23	PSV Eindhoven - Zwolle	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	PSV Eindhoven - Lens	1:0 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
04.11.23	Heracles Almelo - PSV Eindhoven	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.10.23	PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla	2:2
UEFA Europa League
23.02.23	PSV Eindhoven - Sevilla	2:0
16.02.23	Sevilla - PSV Eindhoven	3:0

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