Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 18 May 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Belgium	Canvas, RTBF
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	BTV Action
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Urheilu
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	ESPN
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovakia	RTVS2
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Sevilla		Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	3.1
	2.37	3.2	3.1
	2.43	3.3	3.25
	2.4	3.2	3.15
	2.44	3.26	3.22
	2.4	3.1	3.2
	2.47	3.36	3.34
	2.47	3.15	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.66)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	3.2 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
39.9%

Draw
30%

Juventus
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.2%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

31%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	11.2%	15%

Sevilla - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 80 users predict this event. Sevilla will win (votes: 59 - 73.8%). Juventus will win (votes: 12 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 11.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 64.2% – 83.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Sevilla has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a good chance of final (57%), a chance of win league (26%).

Juventus has already of knockout phase, already of round of 16, already of qtrs, already of semis, a chance of final (43%), a chance of win league (20%).

This event has big quality 72, very big importance 100, big match rating 86. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Sevilla: Corona J. (Inactive) Gueye P. (Inactive) Jordan J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Marcao (Thigh Injury) Nianzou T. (Health problems)

There will not play in Juventus: Bonucci L. (Injury) De Sciglio M. (Knee Injury) Ihattaren M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kaio Jorge (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Muscle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Sevilla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.23	Valladolid - Sevilla	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.05.23	Juventus - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.23	Sevilla - Espanyol	3:2 ✺
01.05.23	Sevilla - Girona	0:2 ✺
27.04.23	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WTWLW
- Juventus
Italian Serie A
14.05.23	Juventus - Cremonese	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.05.23	Juventus - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.05.23	Atalanta - Juventus	0:2 ✺
03.05.23	Juventus - Lecce	2:1 ✺
30.04.23	Bologna - Juventus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
11.05.23	Juventus - Sevilla	1:1
UEFA Champions League
22.11.16	Sevilla - Juventus	1:3
14.09.16	Juventus - Sevilla	0:0
08.12.15	Sevilla - Juventus	1:0
30.09.15	Juventus - Sevilla	2:0

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