Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 24

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 1
Argentina	ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	GXR World
Indonesia	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kosovo	K Sport 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	ICE Plus
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 5, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
Taiwan	DAZN
Tanzania	Azam Sports 4
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
World	Disney+


	Valladolid		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	4	3.4	1.95	Watch
	4	3.5	2	Watch
	4.3	3.39	2.02
	4.23	3.43	1.97	Watch
	4	3.3	1.95
	4.22	3.52	2.03	Watch
	4	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↓ (4.5)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	1.99 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
23.5%

Draw
28.1%

Sevilla
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.3%

26.6%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

26.7%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.9%	19.4%	66.7%

Valladolid - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 5 - 14.3%). Sevilla will win (votes: 23 - 65.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sevilla: 50% – 81.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Hein K. (G) 22. Candela A. 16. Aidoo J. 3. Torres D. 2. Perez L. 4. Nikitscher T. 23. Anuar 12. Martin M. 8. Grillitsch F. 39. Aznou A. 14. Latasa J.	13. Nyland O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 6. Gudelj N. 3. Pedrosa A. 4. Salas K. 26. Sanchez J. 18. Agoume L. 20. Sow D. 11. Lukebakio D. 7. Romero I. 5. Vargas R.
Substitutes
21. Amallah S. 29. Arnuncio A. 28. Chuki 15. Comert E. 1. Ferreira A. (G) 20. Juric S. 18. Machis D. 6. Ozkacar C. 30. Ruiz R. C. 10. Sanchez I. 7. Sylla M.	33. Arbol M. (G) 28. Bueno M. 21. Ejuke C. 1. Fernandez A. (G) 27. Idumbo S. 23. Marcao 35. Martinez R. 14. Peque 37. Rivera P. 10. Suso
Coaches
Cocca D.	Garcia Pimienta F. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Sanchez J. ⚽, Vargas R. (A),
45+1', 0 - 2, Romero I. ⚽, Sanchez J. (A),
45+2', Romero I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Grillitsch F. ↓, Amallah S. ↑,
46', Aznou A. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
51', Nikitscher T. 🟨,
52', Pedrosa A. 🟨,
61', Latasa J. ↓, Sylla M. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Sanchez J. ⚽, Lukebakio D. (A),
72', Anuar 🟨,
74', Martin M. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
75', Romero I. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
81', Amallah S. 🟨,
82', Sanchez J. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
82', Vargas R. ↓, Suso ↑,
84', 0 - 4, Lukebakio D. ⚽, Ejuke C. (A),
85', Lukebakio D. ↓, Peque ↑,
85', Gudelj N. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
90+1', Sylla M. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 0.

Valladolid is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sevilla is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sevilla could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sevilla is a favorite.

There will not play in Valladolid: Comert E. (Hamstring Injury) Marcos Andre (Yellow Cards) Moro R. (Broken collarbone) Ozkacar C. (Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Adams A. (Injury) Bade L. (Yellow Cards) Lokonga A. S. (Muscle Injury) Nianzou T. (Thigh Injury) Niguez S. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Valladolid: Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Valladolid won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:21 (average 0.8:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Valladolid won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga
07.02.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Villarreal - Valladolid	5:1 ✺
25.01.25	Valladolid - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
17.01.25	Espanyol - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Valladolid - Betis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLLW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
09.02.25	Sevilla - Barcelona	1:4 ✺
01.02.25	Getafe - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Sevilla - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Girona - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Sevilla - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.09.24	Sevilla - Valladolid	2:1
14.05.23	Valladolid - Sevilla	0:3
19.08.22	Sevilla - Valladolid	1:1
20.03.21	Valladolid - Sevilla	1:1
19.12.20	Sevilla - Valladolid	1:1
26.06.20	Sevilla - Valladolid	1:1
24.11.19	Valladolid - Sevilla	0:1

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