Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab


	Juventus		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	15	Watch
	1.24	5.9	14.5	Watch
	1.28	5.71	13.14	Watch
	1.22	5	13
	1.26	5.8	15.1
	1.23	6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	5.69 ↑ (4.97)	14.12 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
76.5%

Draw
16.8%

Lecce
6.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

19.1%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.8%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventus's performance.

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	11.6%	0%

Juventus - Lecce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Lecce (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Juventus (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 12 - 80%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 22. McKennie W. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 30. David J. 10. Yildiz K.	30. Falcone W. (C) 13. Perez M. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 77. Kaba M. 20. Ramadani Y. 50. Pierotti S. 93. Maleh Y. 19. Banda L. 22. Camarda F.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 25. Joao Mario 8. Koopmeiners T. 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 44. Pedro Felipe 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 11. Zhegrova E.	95. Bleve D. (G) 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 21. Kouassi C. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 9. Stulic N. 17. Veiga D.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Perez M. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Banda L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, McKennie W. ⚽,
61', Maleh Y. 🟨,
66', David J. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
68', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
69', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
69', Thuram K. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
70', Veiga D. 🟨,
77', Locatelli M. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
81', Banda L. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
83', McKennie W. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
90+5', Falcone W. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 4.

Juventus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lecce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juventus is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Juventus: Gatti F. (Knee Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (International duty) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive) Tete Morente (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.6% Lecce: 0.14%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Pisa - Juventus	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Juventus - Roma	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bologna - Juventus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Juventus - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lecce - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.04.25	Juventus - Lecce	2:1
01.12.24	Lecce - Juventus	1:1
21.01.24	Lecce - Juventus	0:3
26.09.23	Juventus - Lecce	1:0
03.05.23	Juventus - Lecce	2:1
29.10.22	Lecce - Juventus	0:1
26.06.20	Juventus - Lecce	4:0

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