Match Info

Serie A - Round 18

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, SuperSport Football
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	21:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:00	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	21:00	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3, Voyo
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	DAZN France
Georgia	21:00	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	12:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	18:00	Match 4
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Italy	18:00	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 1
Kuwait	20:00	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	23:00	Setanta Sports 2
Malaysia	01:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	19:00	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV2
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovenia	18:00	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	19:00	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	02:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	01:00	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	00:00	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	18:00	Diwan Sport
Turkey	20:00	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
United Kingdom	17:00	DAZN
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	22:00	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:00	ON Football, TV 360, VTVcab


	Juventus		Lecce

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.75	15	Watch
	1.24	5.9	14.5	Watch
	1.28	5.71	13.14	Watch
	1.22	5	13
	1.26	5.8	15.1
	1.23	6	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.33)	5.69 ↑ (4.97)	14.12 ↑ (10)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
76.5%

Draw
16.8%

Lecce
6.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.4%

19.1%

9.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

18.8%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Juventus's performance.

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	11.6%	0%

Juventus - Lecce Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Lecce (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Juventus (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Juventus will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 12 - 80%). Lecce (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 3. Bremer 6. Kelly L. 22. McKennie W. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 30. David J. 10. Yildiz K.	30. Falcone W. (C) 13. Perez M. 4. Gaspar K. 44. Tiago Gabriel 25. Gallo A. 77. Kaba M. 20. Ramadani Y. 50. Pierotti S. 93. Maleh Y. 19. Banda L. 22. Camarda F.
Substitutes
17. Adzic V. 32. Cabal J. 25. Joao Mario 8. Koopmeiners T. 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 44. Pedro Felipe 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 11. Zhegrova E.	95. Bleve D. (G) 28. Gorter O. 14. Helgason T. J. 18. Jean G. 21. Kouassi C. 36. Marchwinski F. 3. Ndaba C. 11. Ndri K. 6. Sala A. 32. Samooja J. (G) 5. Siebert J. 9. Stulic N. 17. Veiga D.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Di Francesco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Perez M. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
45+2', 0 - 1, Banda L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, McKennie W. ⚽,
61', Maleh Y. 🟨,
66', David J. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Camarda F. ↓, Stulic N. ↑,
68', Pierotti S. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
69', Cambiaso A. ↓, Kostic F. ↑,
69', Thuram K. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
70', Veiga D. 🟨,
77', Locatelli M. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
81', Banda L. ↓, Helgason T. J. ↑,
83', McKennie W. ↓, Adzic V. ↑,
90+5', Falcone W. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 4.

Juventus is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lecce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Juventus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Juventus is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Juventus: Gatti F. (Knee Injury) Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury) Rugani D. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Injury) Coulibaly L. (International duty) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury) Rafia H. (Inactive) Tete Morente (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Milik A. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	8	4	2	2	11:8	3	14
12	Lecce	8	3	0	5	9:14	-5	9

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 3.57% Lecce: 0.15%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Pisa - Juventus	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Juventus - Roma	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Bologna - Juventus	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Juventus - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWL
- US Lecce
Italian Serie A
27.12.25	Lecce - Como	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Lecce - Pisa	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Cremonese - Lecce	2:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lecce - Torino	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lazio - Lecce	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
12.04.25	Juventus - Lecce	2:1
01.12.24	Lecce - Juventus	1:1
21.01.24	Lecce - Juventus	0:3
26.09.23	Juventus - Lecce	1:0
03.05.23	Juventus - Lecce	2:1
29.10.22	Lecce - Juventus	0:1
26.06.20	Juventus - Lecce	4:0

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