Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	20:45	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:45	Match 4
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 2
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	ESPN Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	22:45	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter


	Bologna		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.47	3.38	2.25
	3.37	3.33	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.39	3.33	2.38
	3.25	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.78)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	2.26 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
28.6%

Draw
29.2%

Juventus
42.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	45.8%	29.2%

Bologna - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 25%). Juventus will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.7% – 59.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 7 - 35%). Juventus (votes: 3 - 15%). Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Juventus (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Bologna (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (1.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Juventus (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 19. Ferguson L. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 6. Kelly L. 8. Koopmeiners T. 22. McKennie W. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Castro S. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 2. Holm E. 17. Immobile C. 22. Lykogiannis C. 75. Markovic P. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 11. Rowe J. 77. Sulemana I.	17. Adzic V. 3. Bremer 32. Cabal J. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 1. Perin M. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 24. Rugani D. 42. Scaglia S. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Koopmeiners T. 🟨,
24', Miranda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', David J. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
61', Cambiaso A. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Cabal J. ⚽, Yildiz K. (A),
65', Ferguson L. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
66', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
69', Heggem T. 🟥,
72', Moro N. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
72', Zortea N. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
76', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Bremer ↑,
81', Lucumi J. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
88', Conceicao F. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
90', Sulemana I. 🟨,
90+4', De Silvestri L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Juventus could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Gatti F. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:40. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLW
- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Juventus - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Bodø Glimt - Juventus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Bologna - Juventus	1:1
07.12.24	Juventus - Bologna	2:2
20.05.24	Bologna - Juventus	3:3
27.08.23	Juventus - Bologna	1:1
30.04.23	Bologna - Juventus	1:1
02.10.22	Juventus - Bologna	3:0
16.04.22	Juventus - Bologna	1:1

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