Match Info

Serie A - Round 15

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, DStv Now
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	Sport 2
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Discovery+, TV12, TV4 Play
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+, SiriusXM FC
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Bologna		Juventus

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.25	2.22	Watch
	3.47	3.38	2.25
	3.37	3.33	2.22	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.39	3.33	2.38
	3.25	3.25	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.78)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	2.26 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
28.6%

Draw
29.2%

Juventus
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.2%

29.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.7%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bologna's form might have worsened.

Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventus's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	45.8%	29.2%

Bologna - Juventus Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 25%). Juventus will win (votes: 14 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 45.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.7% – 59.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 7 - 35%). Juventus (votes: 3 - 15%). Tie (votes: 10 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.5 - Juventus (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Bologna (1.91) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - draw (1.33) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 24 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Juventus (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 14. Heggem T. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. 19. Ferguson L. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T.	16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 6. Kelly L. 8. Koopmeiners T. 22. McKennie W. 5. Locatelli M. (C) 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 7. Conceicao F. 10. Yildiz K. 30. David J.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 9. Castro S. 29. De Silvestri L. 30. Dominguez B. 80. Fabbian G. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 2. Holm E. 17. Immobile C. 22. Lykogiannis C. 75. Markovic P. 21. Odgaard J. 25. Pessina M. (G) 11. Rowe J. 77. Sulemana I.	17. Adzic V. 3. Bremer 32. Cabal J. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 21. Miretti F. 20. Openda L. 1. Perin M. (G) 40. Rouhi J. 24. Rugani D. 42. Scaglia S. (G) 11. Zhegrova E.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Spalletti L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Koopmeiners T. 🟨,
24', Miranda J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', David J. ↓, Openda L. ↑,
61', Cambiaso A. ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Cabal J. ⚽, Yildiz K. (A),
65', Ferguson L. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
66', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
69', Heggem T. 🟥,
72', Moro N. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
72', Zortea N. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
76', Koopmeiners T. ↓, Bremer ↑,
81', Lucumi J. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
88', Conceicao F. ↓, Miretti F. ↑,
90', Sulemana I. 🟨,
90+4', De Silvestri L. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Juventus could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Juventus: Gatti F. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Calf Injury) Vlahovic D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Pinsoglio C. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:40. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.6:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
11.12.25	Celta de Vigo - Bologna	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Lazio - Bologna	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
04.12.25	Bologna - Parma	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
01.12.25	Bologna - Cremonese	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLW
- Juventus
UEFA Champions League
10.12.25	Juventus - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
07.12.25	Napoli - Juventus	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
02.12.25	Juventus - Udinese	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
29.11.25	Juventus - Cagliari	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.25	Bodø Glimt - Juventus	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
04.05.25	Bologna - Juventus	1:1
07.12.24	Juventus - Bologna	2:2
20.05.24	Bologna - Juventus	3:3
27.08.23	Juventus - Bologna	1:1
30.04.23	Bologna - Juventus	1:1
02.10.22	Juventus - Bologna	3:0
16.04.22	Juventus - Bologna	1:1

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