Match Info

Date: 28 October 2020, Wednesday


	Sevilla		Rennes

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.5	7
	1.48	4.33	7
	1.49	4.5	7.5
	1.46	4.4	7.2
	1.48	4.52	7.75
	1.47	4.2	7.5
	1.49	4.5	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	4.42 ↑ (4.09)	7.36 ↑ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
65.2%

Draw
21.7%

Rennes
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

23.4%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

13.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Rennes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (-30.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sevilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rennes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.4%	6.1%	7.5%

Sevilla - Rennes Predictions

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (185 of 214 users predict this - 86.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.86% – 91.04%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Sevilla has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (38%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Rennes has a chance of round of 16 (21%), has a very small chance of qtrs (5%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Sevilla is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
24.10.20	Sevilla - Eibar	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.20	Chelsea - Sevilla	0:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.20	Granada - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
01.10.20	Sevilla - Levante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LTLTW
- Stade Rennes
French Ligue 1
23.10.20	Rennes - Angers	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.10.20	Rennes - Krasnodar	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.10.20	Dijon - Rennes	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Rennes - Reims	2:2 ✺
26.09.20	Saint-Étienne - Rennes	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTTTW

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