Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Chelsea		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4.1
	1.85	3.75	4.1
	1.88	3.85	4.25
	1.84	3.8	4.1
	1.88	3.77	4.43
	1.83	3.6	4.33
	1.91	3.86	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.02)	3.78 ↑ (3.53)	4.27 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelsea
51.8%

Draw
25.5%

Sevilla
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

27.1%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

17.9%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chelsea that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.8%	10.6%	26.5%

Chelsea - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 113 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 71 - 62.8%). Sevilla will win (votes: 30 - 26.5%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 10.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 53.9% – 71.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Chelsea has a good chance of round of 16 (81%), has a chance of qtrs (41%), has a chance of semis (18%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Sevilla has a good chance of round of 16 (75%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a small chance of semis (13%), has a very small chance of final (5%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Sevilla have a series of guest games.

In this match Chelsea is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelsea
English Premier League
17.10.20	Chelsea - Southampton	3:3 ✺
03.10.20	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	4:0 ✺
English League Cup
29.09.20	Tottenham Hotspur - Chelsea	2:1 penalties ✺
English Premier League
26.09.20	West Bromwich Albion - Chelsea	3:3 ✺
English League Cup
23.09.20	Chelsea - Barnsley	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLTW
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
17.10.20	Granada - Sevilla	1:0 ✺
04.10.20	Barcelona - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
01.10.20	Sevilla - Levante	1:0 ✺
27.09.20	Cádiz - Sevilla	1:3 ✺
UEFA Super Cup
24.09.20	Bayern Munich - Sevilla	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWL

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