Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Nantong Zhiyun		Shaanxi Changan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.7	3.2	4.8
	1.71	3.25	4.6
	1.76	3.33	5.24
	1.7	3.5	4
	1.73	3.46	4.7	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.74)	3.33 ↓ (3.41)	4.59 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nantong Zhiyun
52.8%

Draw
27.4%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

26.4%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

29.4%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nantong Zhiyun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Changan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantong Zhiyun: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 1.

Nantong Zhiyun is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shaanxi Chang'an in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Nantong Zhiyun is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Nantong Zhiyun to win the game is with odds 1.71.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Nantong Zhiyun won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Nantong Zhiyun won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
31.10.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Nanjing City	0:0 ✺
26.10.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
29.09.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
24.09.22	Qingdao Hainiu - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
20.09.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Beijing Institute of Technology	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWTW
- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
01.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Ningbo Professional	2:0 ✺
27.10.22	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	2:3 ✺
28.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
21.12.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1
08.12.21	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:2
04.11.20	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nantong Zhiyun	1:0
28.09.19	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	3:0
01.06.19	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2
Chinese Yi League
27.10.18	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1
20.10.18	Nantong Zhiyun - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0

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