Match Info

Premier League - Round 17

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Tusker		Bandari

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.82	3.05
	2.35	2.57	3.6	Watch
	2.5	2.5	3
	2.44	2.86	3.12
	2.57	2.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.33)	2.6 ↓ (2.73)	3.27 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tusker
37.2%

Draw
35%

Bandari
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

32.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bandari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandari than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Tusker - Bandari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Ojunga G. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Adikiny F. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Mubarak A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tusker will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tusker won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Tusker won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.7:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Tusker	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Bandari	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Tusker - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 38.34%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
11.01.26	Tusker - AFC Leopards	0:4 ✺
21.12.25	APS Bomet - Tusker	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Tusker - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Sofapaka - Tusker	0:2 ✺
05.12.25	Tusker - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWW
- Bandari FC
Kenyan Premier League
10.01.26	Bandari - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Bandari - Mathare United	1:0 ✺
16.12.25	Posta Rangers - Bandari	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Bandari - Gor Mahia	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	APS Bomet - Bandari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
02.03.25	Bandari - Tusker	0:0
15.01.25	Tusker - Bandari	1:0
26.08.23	Bandari - Tusker	0:1
08.03.23	Tusker - Bandari	1:0
08.01.23	Bandari - Tusker	2:1
06.02.22	Bandari - Tusker	0:2
02.02.22	Tusker - Bandari	1:0

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