Match Info

Date: 20 February 2020, Thursday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Benfica

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.35	3.4	3
	2.38	3.4	3.1
	2.26	3.3	2.99
	2.32	3.48	3.05
	2.3	3.4	3
	2.4	3.5	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.4)	3.43 ↑ (3.35)	3.05 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
41%

Draw
27.8%

Benfica
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.3%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

20.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benfica, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25.8%	24.2%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: 62 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 31 - 50%). Benfica will win (votes: 15 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 25.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 37.6% – 62.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Club Friendly
09.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Ventspils	1:0 ✺
08.02.20	Olimpija Ljubljana - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3 ✺
05.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - SønderjyskE	2:2 ✺
05.02.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Makedonija Gjorče Petrov	2:0 ✺
30.01.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Slovácko	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWW
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
15.02.20	Benfica - Braga	0:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
11.02.20	Famalicão - Benfica	1:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
08.02.20	Porto - Benfica	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
04.02.20	Benfica - Famalicão	3:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
31.01.20	Benfica - BSAD	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.14	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	Canceled
13.07.14	Shakhtar Donetsk - Benfica	Canceled

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