Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Benfica		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	9	Watch
	1.31	5.25	9
	1.3	5.6	8.5
	1.27	5.8	9
	1.3	6	10.32
	1.2	6.5	13	Watch
	1.3	5.75	9.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.14)	5.66 ↓ (8.04)	9.75 ↓ (18.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Network on TV: GolTV (Spanish)

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Current Win Probability

Benfica
73.6%

Draw
16.7%

BSAD
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.2%

11.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.

BSAD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Benfica - BSAD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Benfica has the most likely position - 3 (97.22%), has project points - 72, has currently - 61, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (99%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Belenenses has the most likely position - 18 (73.38%), has project points - 26, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has not chance of qualify for ucl.

This event has quality 47, small importance 23, match rating 35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Benfica won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Benfica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Benfica is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Benfica won 14 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 52-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Benfica won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 29-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SL Benfica
UEFA Champions League
05.04.22	Benfica - Liverpool	1:3 ✺
Liga Portugal
01.04.22	Braga - Benfica	3:2 ✺
20.03.22	Benfica - Estoril Praia	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.03.22	Ajax - Benfica	0:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
11.03.22	Benfica - Vizela	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWWT
- BSAD
Liga Portugal
02.04.22	BSAD - Portimonense	2:0 ✺
19.03.22	Santa Clara - BSAD	0:0 ✺
12.03.22	BSAD - Boavista	0:0 ✺
07.03.22	Tondela - BSAD	1:1 ✺
25.02.22	BSAD - Paços de Ferreira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
27.11.21	BSAD - Benfica	0:7
08.03.21	BSAD - Benfica	0:3
Taça de Portugal
28.01.21	Benfica - BSAD	3:0
Liga Portugal
26.10.20	Benfica - BSAD	2:0
31.01.20	Benfica - BSAD	3:2
17.08.19	BSAD - Benfica	0:2
11.03.19	Benfica - BSAD	2:2

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