The best margin for this event is 0.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhtar Donetsk 28.9%
Draw 25.1%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 46%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33%
26.2%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
18%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borussia Mönchengladbach's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+19.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-17.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borussia Mönchengladbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
119 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 39 - 32.8%). Borussia M will win (votes: 52 - 43.7%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 23.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia M: 34.8% – 52.6%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
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Shakhtar has a good chance of round of 16 (57%), has a chance of qtrs (19%), has a small chance of semis (6%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Borussia M has a chance of round of 16 (37%), has a small chance of qtrs (14%), has a very small chance of semis (5%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.
Borussia M will have a small advantage in this match.