Match Info

Date: 28 September 2021, Tuesday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Inter Milan

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.6
	5.25	4.1	1.62
	5.75	4.1	1.65
	5.2	4	1.64
	5.61	4.07	1.66
	5.5	4.2	1.6
	5.5	4.1	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.47 ↑ (5.34)	4.08 ↓ (4.21)	1.63 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
17.6%

Draw
23.6%

Inter Milan
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

22.6%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

18.9%

71.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Inter Milan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Milan than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Inter Milan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	14.6%	74.3%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Inter Milan Predictions

Users Predictions: 171 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 19 - 11.1%). Inter will win (votes: 127 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 25 - 14.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Inter: 67.8% – 80.8%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Shakhtar has currently - 0, has a very small chance of 1st (2%), has a small chance of 2nd (12%), has a chance of 3rd (39%), has a small chance of round of 16 (15%), has a very small chance of qtrs (3%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Inter has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (18%), has a good chance of 2nd (64%), has a small chance of 3rd (14%), has a good chance of round of 16 (82%), has a chance of qtrs (34%), has a small chance of semis (15%), has a small chance of final (6%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Shakhtar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Inter is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Inter is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Shakhtar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
25.09.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Veres Rivne	4:1 ✺
Ukrainian Super Cup
22.09.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dynamo Kyiv	3:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.09.21	Mariupol - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Sheriff Tiraspol - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
11.09.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Dnipro-1	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Inter Milan
Italian Serie A
25.09.21	Inter Milan - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
21.09.21	Fiorentina - Inter Milan	1:3 ✺
18.09.21	Inter Milan - Bologna	6:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Inter Milan - Real Madrid	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.21	Sampdoria - Inter Milan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
09.12.20	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0
27.10.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Inter Milan	0:0
UEFA Europa League
17.08.20	Inter Milan - Shakhtar Donetsk	5:0

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