Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports, beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Real Madrid		Shakhtar Donetsk

	1	X	2
	1.22	7.5	10
	1.22	7	12
	1.21	7.5	14
	1.22	7	11
	1.22	7.5	13.5
	1.22	6.5	12
	1.23	7.1	12.25
	1.23	7	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↑ (1.18)	7.14 ↓ (7.63)	12.09 ↓ (14.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
78.6%

Draw
13.5%

Shakhtar Donetsk
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.8%

12.5%

6.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.6%	4.1%	34.2%

Real Madrid - Shakhtar Donetsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 45 - 61.6%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 25 - 34.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 50.4% – 72.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Real has currently - 6, has a good chance of 1st (91%), has a small chance of 2nd (7%), has a very small chance of 3rd (1%), has a very good chance of round of 16 (98%), has a good chance of qtrs (62%), has a chance of semis (33%), has a chance of final (16%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Shakhtar has currently - 4, has a very small chance of 1st (5%), has a chance of 2nd (33%), has a chance of 3rd (39%), has a chance of round of 16 (38%), has a small chance of qtrs (7%), has a very small chance of semis (1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has big quality 72, importance 47, match rating 59. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real won 3.

Real in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shakhtar is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Real is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Real: Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Courtois T. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Shakhtar: Korniienko V. (Knee Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Real won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Real won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
02.10.22	Real Madrid - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.22	Real Madrid - RB Leipzig	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
11.09.22	Real Madrid - Mallorca	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	Celtic - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWWWW
- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
01.10.22	Metalist Kharkiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:6 ✺
Club Friendly
24.09.22	Radomiak Radom - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
14.09.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Celtic	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
10.09.22	Shakhtar Donetsk - Chornomorets Odesa	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.09.22	RB Leipzig - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
03.11.21	Real Madrid - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:1
19.10.21	Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid	0:5
01.12.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid	2:0
21.10.20	Real Madrid - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:3
25.11.15	Shakhtar Donetsk - Real Madrid	3:4
15.09.15	Real Madrid - Shakhtar Donetsk	4:0

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