Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 12

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Borussia-Park (Mönchengladbach) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gerach T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Albania	20:30	Tring Sport 2
Argentina	16:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	23:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Australia	06:30	beIN Connect
Austria	20:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Azerbaijan	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Brazil	16:30	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	21:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:30	ESPN Premium
China	03:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	14:30	ESPN
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	23:30	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	21:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	03:30	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	19:30	Viaplay
India	01:00	Vision+
Indonesia	02:30	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:30	Sport 1
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX
Japan	04:30	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Kosovo	20:30	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	01:30	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	02:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Malta	20:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:30	Sky Sport
Moldova	21:30	Setanta Sports 2
Mongolia	03:30	Premier Sports 5
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	08:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	20:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	00:30	Tapmad
Papua New Guinea	05:30	TVWan Sports
Peru	14:30	Disney+
Philippines	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4
Russia	22:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	22:30	Shahid
Serbia	20:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	03:30	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	20:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Africa	21:30	SABC Plus, SABC Sport
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
South Korea	04:30	Coupang Play
Spain	20:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	20:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
Taiwan	03:30	ELTA Sports 2
Tajikistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	22:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	19:30	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	16:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	00:30	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:30	TV 360
International	19:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Mönchengladbach		RB Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2.25	Watch
	2.82	3.7	2.32	Watch
	2.92	3.85	2.35
	3.16	4.01	2.06	Watch
	3.06	3.89	2.24	Watch
	2.85	3.66	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (3.16)	3.81 ↓ (4.01)	2.26 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Mönchengladbach
32.6%

Draw
25.1%

RB Leipzig
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.7%

46.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

23.4%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Mönchengladbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Mönchengladbach than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.3%	14%	69.8%

Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Borussia M will win (votes: 7 - 17.5%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 28 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig: 55.8% – 84.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 4 - 26.7%). RB Leipzig (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Borussia M (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Borussia M (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia M (votes: 6 - 35.3%). RB Leipzig (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Nicolas M. (G) 29. Scally J. 30. Elvedi N. 4. Diks K. 17. Castrop J. 27. Reitz R. (C) 6. Engelhardt Y. 10. Neuhaus F. 20. Netz L. 9. Honorat F. 15. Tabakovic H.	1. Gulacsi P. (G) 17. Baku R. 4. Orban W. 23. Lukeba C. 22. Raum D. (C) 24. Schlager X. 13. Seiwald N. 14. Baumgartner C. 49. Diomande Y. 11. Harder C. 7. Nusa A.
Substitutes
22. Fraulo O. 5. Friedrich M. 25. Hack R. 11. Kleindienst T. 18. Machino S. 42. Pereira Cardoso T. (G) 13. Reyna G. 7. Stoger K. 26. Ullrich L.	9. Bakayoko J. 6. Banzuzi E. 35. Finkgrafe M. 27. Gomis T. 8. Haidara A. 16. Klostermann L. 33. Maksimovic A. 19. Nedeljkovic K. 26. Vandevoordt M. (G)
Coaches
Polanski E.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Baumgartner C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Baku R. 🟨,
61', Schlager X. 🟨,
66', Nusa A. ↓, Bakayoko J. ↑,
66', Schlager X. ↓, Banzuzi E. ↑,
73', Neuhaus F. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
73', Tabakovic H. ↓, Machino S. ↑,
82', Harder C. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
83', Castrop J. ↓, Friedrich M. ↑,
90', Honorat F. ↓, Kleindienst T. ↑,
90+1', Baku R. ↓, Klostermann L. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 1.

Borussia M has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

RB Leipzig is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Borussia M: Chiarodia F. C. (Thigh Injury) Ngoumou N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Omlin J. (Muscle Injury) Sander P. (Muscle Injury) Urbich J. (Illness)

There will not play in RB Leipzig: Bitshiabu E. (Muscle Injury) Gebel V. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Personal Reasons) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Romulo Cardoso (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Borussia M won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:29. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia M won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Mönchengladbach
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Lierse	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Köln	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	St. Pauli - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:4 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWW
- RB Leipzig
German Bundesliga
23.11.25	RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig	3:1 ✺
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Energie Cottbus - RB Leipzig	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Augsburg - RB Leipzig	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
29.03.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	1:0
09.11.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	0:0
17.02.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	2:0
23.09.23	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	0:1
11.03.23	RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach	3:0
17.09.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	3:0
02.05.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach - RB Leipzig	3:1

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