Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Shakhtar Donetsk		Servette

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	6.5	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7
	1.34	4.95	7.9	Watch
	1.32	5.09	9.21
	1.37	4.74	6.87	Watch
	1.35	5.73	7.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.37)	5.09 ↑ (4.74)	7.49 ↑ (6.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
69.3%

Draw
18.3%

Servette
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

19.4%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

18.3%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.7%	11.6%	4.7%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Servette Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Servette (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - Shakhtar (2.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Servette (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Riznyk D. (G) 17. Tobias V. 5. Bondar V. 22. Matviienko M. (C) 13. Henrique P. 6. Marlon Gomes 30. Alisson 38. Pedrinho 10. Sudakov G. 39. Newerton 19. Kaua Elias	1. Mall J. (G) 2. Srdanovic L. 25. Bronn D. 6. Baron A. 18. Mazikou B. 9. Stevanovic M. 8. Cognat T. (C) 11. Fomba L. 14. Njoh L. 29. Varela K. 10. Antunes A.
Substitutes
16. Azarovi I. 21. Bondarenko A. 74. Faryna M. 23. Fesyun K. (G) 18. Ghram A. 20. Glushchenko A. 11. Kevin 26. Konoplya Y. 37. Lucas Ferreira 4. Marlon 29. Nazaryna Y. 48. Tvardovskyi D. (G)	22. Anselme M. 40. Aubert M. (G) 32. Frick J. (G) 21. Guillemenot J. 30. Jallow A. 20. Magnin T. 7. Morandi G. 90. Mraz S. 5. Ondoua G. 17. Ouattara T. 33. Zuka L.
Coaches
Turan A.	Gourvennec J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Fomba L. ⚽, Baron A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Newerton ↓, Kevin ↑,
46', Antunes A. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
59', Tobias V. 🟨,
59', Njoh L. 🟨,
65', Kaua Elias ↓, Bondarenko A. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Bondar V. ⚽, Marlon Gomes (A),
77', Pedrinho ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
77', Varela K. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
84', Jallow A. ↓, Morandi G. ↑,
84', Stevanovic M. ↓, Magnin T. ↑,

Preview

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.

Shakhtar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Servette is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Shakhtar has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shakhtar is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.25	Veres Rivne - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Shakhtar Donetsk - Panathinaikos	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
10.08.25	Karpaty Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Panathinaikos - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
03.08.25	Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi - Shakhtar Donetsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLTTW
- Servette FC
Swiss Cup
17.08.25	Dardania Lausanne - Servette	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
14.08.25	Utrecht - Servette	2:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
10.08.25	Servette - Grasshoppers	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.08.25	Servette - Utrecht	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
02.08.25	Servette - St. Gallen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 WLTLL

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