Match Info
Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finalsDate: 14 August 2025, ThursdayLocation: Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht)Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Switzerland | Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
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Utrecht |
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Servette |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Utrecht
64.4% | Draw
19.8% | Servette
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Utrecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-2.8%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
35 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 30 - 85.7%). Servette will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 5.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 74.1% – 97.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 13 - 65%). Servette (votes: 4 - 20%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Servette (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Utrecht (1.73) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Servette (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Servette (votes: 6 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 11.1%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Barkas V. (G)
2.  Horemans S.
3.  van der Hoorn M.
24. Viergever N. (C)
16.  El Karouani S.
21. Zechiel G.
7.  Jensen V.
27. Engwanda A.
22.  Rodriguez M.
11. Ohio N.
15.  Blake A.
| 1.  Mall J. (G)
2.  Srdanovic L.
6.  Baron A.
25.  Bronn D.
18.  Mazikou B.
8.  Cognat T. (C)
11. Fomba L.
9.  Stevanovic M.
10. Antunes A.
7. Morandi G.
29.  Varela K.
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| Substitutes |
8.  Bozdogan C.
25. Brouwer M. (G)
20. de Wit D.
40. Didden M.
5.  Finnsson K.
33. Gadellaa K. (G)
26. Jonathans M.
55. Murkin D.
6. van den Berg D.
46. van Ommeren J.
23. Vesterlund N.
| 45. Atangana J.
40. Aubert M. (G)
32. Frick J. (G)
21. Guillemenot J.
30.  Jallow A.
20. Magnin T.
14. Njoh L.
5.  Ondoua G.
17. Ouattara T.
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| Coaches |
Jans R.
| Gourvennec J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Fomba L. 🟨,
- 31', Antunes A. 🟨,
- 37', Gourvennec J. 🟨,
- 38', Zechiel G. 🟨,
- 39', Stevanovic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', Engwanda A. 🟨,
- 52', Bronn D. 🟨,
- 53', Blake A. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽,
- 62', Rodriguez M. ↓, Jonathans M. ↑,
- 62', Antunes A. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
- 62', Morandi G. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 67', Blake A. ↓, Murkin D. ↑,
- 67', Ohio N. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
- 69', van der Hoorn M. 🟨,
- 71', Fomba L. ↓, Ondoua G. ↑,
- 71', Stevanovic M. ↓, Atangana J. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 0, Jensen V. ⚽, Murkin D. (A),
- 77', Horemans S. ↓, Vesterlund N. ↑,
- 78', Viergever N. ↓, Didden M. ↑,
- 80', 2 - 1, Jallow A. (Pen),
- 85', Varela K. ↓, Ouattara T. ↑,
Preview
1st leg result: 3-1. 2nd leg.Utrecht is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Servette is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).Recently, Servette has had a series of home games. In this match, Utrecht is considered a favorite.We predict that Utrecht will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Utrecht won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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