The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shakhter Karagandy 37.9%
Draw 30.5%
Zhetysu 31.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.7%
30.4%
44.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
27.4%
40.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhter Karagandy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shakhter Karagandy's performance.
Zhetysu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhetysu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhter Karagandy than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shakhter Karagandy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhetysu than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhetysu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Shakhter Karagandy - Zhetysu Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shakhter Karagandy will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhter Karagandy: 50.6% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Shabanov A. (G) 68. Migunov A. 5. Stamenkovic F. 4. Ryzhuk D. 15. Savkiv B. 21. Ilic J. 88. Canas R. 8. Nazymkhanov A. 27. Zubaydilda S. 97. Djokic M. 10. Ashortia I.
77. Siukaev A. (G) 3. Dairov N. 4. Chaduneli G. 96. Charleston 5. Orynbassar R. 80. Da Silva S. 10. Atykhanov R. 88. Braga V. 7. Muzhikov S. 11. Usenov D. 19. Zhumabek A.
Substitutes
11. Abdulla A. 18. Altynkhan A. 7. Drachenko M. 95. Karpikov D. (G) 19. Kozlov E. 17. Lisakovich D. 6. Nikolic M. 29. Takhanov D. 40. Tsuprikov E. (G) 23. Tutkyshev R. 44. Tyulyubay A.
23. Baltabekov A. 1. Erniyazov S. (G) 6. Kalmyrza M. 8. Karaman D. 12. Kostyk O. (G) 24. Mukhammed A. 28. Ovchinnikov K. 43. Seitkan S. 27. Taipi S.
Coaches
Finonchenko A.
Nurdauletov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Zubaydilda S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zubaydilda S. ↓, Tyulyubay A. ↑,
52', Ilic J. 🟨,
56', Muzhikov S. 🟨,
61', Atykhanov R. ↓, Karaman D. ↑,
65', Ashortia I. ↓, Kozlov E. ↑,
65', Djokic M. 🟨,
72', Nazymkhanov A. ↓, Drachenko M. ↑,
80', Da Silva S. ↓, Baltabekov A. ↑,
84', Djokic M. ↓, Lisakovich D. ↑,
90+2', Zhumabek A. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First Division and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 3.
One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Shakhter Karagandy won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 28-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Shakhter Karagandy won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-9.
World
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Shabanov A. (G) 
Stamenkovic F. 
Ryzhuk D. 
Ilic J. 
Canas R. 
Ashortia I. 
Siukaev A. (G) 
Charleston 
Lisakovich D. 
Taipi S. 
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