Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Olympic Sports Center Stadium (Tianjin)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger		Yunnan Yukun

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.75	3.50	Watch
	2.00	3.60	3.10
	2.10	3.55	3.05	Watch
	2.03	3.90	3.56
	2.2	3.66	2.98	Watch
	1.99	3.75	3.50
	1.97	3.73	3.43	Watch
	2.03	3.70	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.4)	3.71 ↑ (3.54)	3.31 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
46.4%

Draw
25.3%

Yunnan Yukun
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

26.4%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

26.2%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's performance.

Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yunnan Yukun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tianjin Jinmen Tiger that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunnan Yukun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 9 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 71.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Yan Bingliang (G) 29. Ba Dun (C) 4. Yang Fan 18. Cordoba A. 3. Wang Zhenghao 17. Wu Xinghan 10. Salvador C. 14. Huang Jiahui 8. Xadas 9. Quiles A. 7. Guilherme Schettine	1. Bao Yaxiong (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 18. Yi Teng 33. Burca A. 21. Yang Zihao 34. Caio Vinicius 8. Xu Xin 30. Saeter J. 10. Ionita II A. (C) 39. Abdusalam Bunyamin 11. Taty Maritu O.
Substitutes
24. Chen Zhexuan 28. Guo Hao 20. Ji Shengpan 38. Li S. 19. Liu J. 16. Liu Shuai 22. Li Yongjia 21. Qi Yuxi (G) 40. Shi Yan 31. Sun Ming-Him 30. Wang Qiuming 6. Wang Xianjun	9. Cleber 25. Deng Hanwen 22. Duan Liuyu 36. Fei Ernanduo 19. Huang Zichang 2. Hu Ruibao 5. Shi Ke 17. Sun Xuelong 23. Wang Zhifeng (G) 7. Ye Chugui 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 6. Zhao Yuhao
Coaches
Yu Genwei	Vinyals J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Caio Vinicius ⚽, Abdusalam Bunyamin (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Huang Jiahui ↓, Wang Qiuming ↑,
46', Wu Xinghan ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
56', Yi Teng ↓, Shi Ke ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Ionita II A. (A),
65', Saeter J. ↓, Ye Chugui ↑,
65', Abdusalam Bunyamin ↓, Huang Zichang ↑,
65', Ionita II A. ↓, Cleber ↑,
67', Xu Xin 🟨,
68', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Ji Shengpan ↑,
68', Ba Dun ↓, Shi Yan ↑,
73', Yang Zihao ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
76', Wang Zhenghao ↓, Liu J. ↑,
82', Shi Yan 🟨,
83', Shi Ke 🟨,
84', 1 - 2, Ji Shengpan ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, Salvador C. ⚽, Xadas (A),
90+8', 3 - 2, Quiles A. ⚽, Liu J. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3).

In recent matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yunnan Yukun is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has had a series of away games.

Recently, Yunnan Yukun has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There are questionable in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Xie Weijun (Knee Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Yunnan Yukun	26	11	5	10	54:51	3	38
13	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	26	9	8	9	36:32	4	25

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League
25.07.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Shanghai Shenhua - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shenzhen Peng City	3:0 ✺
27.06.26	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Lanzhou Longyuan - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLL
- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
26.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	4:3 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Chengdu Rongcheng	4:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
17.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Port	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Shandong Taishan - Yunnan Yukun	4:3 ✺
03.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
17.04.26	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	0:3
18.10.25	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:0
11.05.25	Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Yunnan Yukun	0:1
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:2 penalties

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