Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Hillsborough (Sheffield)

Referee: Martin S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Sheffield Wednesday		Hull City

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.7	1.71	Watch
	4.41	3.68	1.81	Watch
	4.39	3.81	1.78	Watch
	4.2	3.5	1.8
	4.18	3.68	1.8	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (2.9)	3.7 ↑ (3.53)	1.78 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheffield Wednesday
21.7%

Draw
25.4%

Hull City
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

26.7%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

26.6%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheffield Wednesday has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sheffield Wednesday's form might have worsened.

Hull City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hull City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sheffield Wednesday than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sheffield Wednesday, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hull City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.4%	95.6%

Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 65 - 95.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 90.7% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Hull (2.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Hull (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hull City will win (30 of 30 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Hull (votes: 32 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Charles P. (G) 6. Iorfa D. 16. Cooper L. 22. Otegbayo G. 2. Palmer L. 37. Thornton J. 10. Bannan B. (C) 8. Ingelsson S. 12. Amass H. 18. Cadamarteri B. 9. Lowe J.	1. Pandur I. (G) 2. Coyle L. (C) 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 3. Giles R. 10. Belloumi M. 27. Slater R. 25. Crooks M. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O. 20. Hadziahmetovic A.
Substitutes
33. Alao Y. 32. Emery J. 31. Grainger W. 24. Horvath E. (G) 27. Johnson R. 28. McGhee C. . Moses D. 41. Onukwuli F. 20. Shipston R.	11. Akintola B. 39. Destan E. 23. Famewo A. 24. Gyabi D. 22. Joseph K. 58. McCarthy C. 19. Ndala J. 45. Palmer K. 12. Phillips D. (G)
Coaches
Pedersen H.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Ingelsson S. ⚽, Charles P. (A),
28', Egan J. 🟨,
35', Crooks M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Belloumi M. ⚽, Crooks M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Egan J. ↓, Famewo A. ↑,
46', McBurnie O. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Cadamarteri B. ⚽, Bannan B. (A),
66', 2 - 2, Crooks M. ⚽,
67', Millar L. ↓, Joseph K. ↑,
68', Hadziahmetovic A. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
72', Belloumi M. ↓, Akintola B. ↑,
76', Lowe J. 🟨,
78', Ingelsson S. ↓, Onukwuli F. ↑,
78', Thornton J. ↓, Shipston R. ↑,
83', Crooks M. ↓, Destan E. ↑,
87', Destan E. 🟨,
90+8', Bannan B. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 3.

Sheff Wed has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hull is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Hull is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Sheff Wed: Bernard D. (Knee Injury) Chalobah N. (Leg Injury) Fusire S. (International duty) Guilherme Siqueira (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kobacki O. (Groin Injury) Redmond N. (Inactive) Valery Y. (International duty) Weaver E. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Ajayi S. (International duty) Gelhardt J. (Calf Injury) Lundstram J. (Knee Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sheff Wed: Lowe M. (Injury) McNeill C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hull: Palmer K. (Knee Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sheff Wed won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sheff Wed won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 0.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheffield Wednesday
English League Championship
20.12.25	Ipswich Town - Sheffield Wednesday	3:1 ✺
15.12.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Derby County	0:3 ✺
09.12.25	Watford - Sheffield Wednesday	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Preston North End	2:3 ✺
26.11.25	Millwall - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLL
- Hull City
English League Championship
20.12.25	Hull City - West Bromwich Albion	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Millwall - Hull City	1:3 ✺
10.12.25	Hull City - Wrexham	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4 ✺
29.11.25	Stoke City - Hull City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
05.04.25	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	0:1
26.11.24	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	0:2
English League Cup
14.08.24	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:2
English League Championship
01.01.24	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	3:1
12.08.23	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	4:2
01.01.20	Sheffield Wednesday - Hull City	0:1
01.10.19	Hull City - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0

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