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Hull City - Middlesbrough: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Championship - Play Offs - Final
  • Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday
  • Location: Wembley Stadium (London)
  • Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Hull City Middlesbrough
    Hull City Middlesbrough
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.15 ↑
    (3.56)    		 3.49 ↑
    (3.42)    		 1.9 ↓
    (2.06)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Hull City
    22.9%    		Draw
    27.2%    		Middlesbrough
    49.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    26.5% 27.6% 45.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    26.1% 27.2% 46.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    33.3% 16.7% 50%

    Hull City - Middlesbrough Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 26.9% – 73.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. CroatiaPandur I. (G)
      6. NigeriaAjayi S.
    15. IrelandEgan J.
      4. EnglandHughes C.
      2. EnglandCoyle L. (C)
    27. EnglandSlater R.
    25. EnglandCrooks M.
      3. EnglandGiles R.
    10. AlgeriaBelloumi M.
      7. CanadaMillar L.
      9. ScotlandMcBurnie O.
    		31. EnglandBrynn S. (G)
    12. EnglandAyling L.
      6. EnglandFry D. (C)
    29. FranceMalanda A.
      2. EnglandBrittain C.
    18. USAMorris A.
    16. IrelandBrowne A.
      3. EnglandTargett M.
    11. EnglandWhittaker M.
      8. AustraliaMcGree R.
    13. SlovakiaStrelec D.
    Substitutes
    26. EnglandDowell K.
    18. EnglandDrameh C.
    21. EnglandGelhardt J.
    20. BosniaHadziahmetovic A.
    13. JapanHirakawa Y.
    36. WalesKoumas L.
      5. EnglandLundstram J.
    37. NorthernMcNair P.
    12. EnglandPhillips D. (G)
    		23. EnglandCastledine L.
    25. EnglandEdmundson G.
    14. IrelandGilbert A.
      7. EnglandHackney H.
    27. CuraçaoHansen S.
    44. EnglandIbeh C.
    45. EcuadorSarmiento J.
    22. AustraliaSilvera S.
    32. EnglandWildsmith J. (G)
    Coaches
         BosniaJakirovic S.
    		     SwedenHellberg K.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 0)
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 63', Millar L. ↓, Gelhardt J. ↑,
    • 70', Strelec D. ↓, Hackney H. ↑,
    • 76', McGree R. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
    • 76', Giles R. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
    • 77', Belloumi M. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
    • 90+5', 1 - 0, McBurnie O. ⚽,
    • 90+6', McBurnie O. 🟨,
    • 90+7', Targett M. ↓, Ibeh C. ↑,
    • 90+7', Browne A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
    • 90+8', Coyle L. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
    • 90+8', Slater R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,

    Preview

  • Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 1.
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Middlesbrough is considered a favorite.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).

    • Outrights of English League Championship for now
    Middlesbrough: 13.36%

    Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    3Middlesbrough843116:12415

    Last Results with these Odds

    Middlesbrough - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.83%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Hull City
    English League Championship
    11.05.26 Millwall - Hull City 0:2 ✺
    08.05.26 Hull City - Millwall 0:0 ✺
    02.05.26 Hull City - Norwich City 2:1 ✺
    25.04.26 Charlton Athletic - Hull City 2:1 ✺
    21.04.26 Leicester City - Hull City 2:2 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8
    WTWLT
    - Middlesbrough FC
    English League Championship
    12.05.26 Southampton - Middlesbrough 2:1 ET ✺
    09.05.26 Middlesbrough - Southampton 0:0 ✺
    02.05.26 Wrexham - Middlesbrough 2:2 ✺
    25.04.26 Middlesbrough - Watford 5:1 ✺
    22.04.26 Middlesbrough - Sheffield Wednesday 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5
    LTTWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Championship
    29.12.25 Middlesbrough - Hull City 0:1
    05.12.25 Hull City - Middlesbrough 1:4
    01.01.25 Hull City - Middlesbrough 0:1
    30.11.24 Middlesbrough - Hull City 3:1
    10.04.24 Hull City - Middlesbrough 2:2
    13.12.23 Middlesbrough - Hull City 1:2
    19.04.23 Middlesbrough - Hull City 3:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Hull City
    English Premier League
    17.10.26 Fulham - Hull City ✺
    11.10.26 Hull City - Everton ✺
    - Middlesbrough FC
    English League Championship
    13.10.26 Stoke City - Middlesbrough ✺
    10.10.26 Middlesbrough - Wolverhampton Wanderers ✺

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