Match Info

Championship - Play Offs - Final

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Wembley Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gillett J. (Aus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 2
Albania	16:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Armenia	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	16:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:30	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	11:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	16:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	16:30	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	16:30	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	16:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Georgia	18:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	16:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	17:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hungary	16:30	Match 4
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	21:30	Vidio
Ireland	15:30	NOW
Israel	17:30	Sport 2
Kenya	17:30	Gotv
Kosovo	16:30	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	20:30	Setanta Sports 1
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka
Malta	16:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	08:30	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Moldova	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	16:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	02:30	beIN Connect
Nigeria	15:30	SuperSport Football Plus, SupeSport ESPN 2
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	16:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Portugal	15:30	Sport TV4
Russia	17:30	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	16:30	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	22:30	mio Sports 1
Slovakia	16:30	Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Slovenia	16:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	16:30	SuperSport Premier League, SupeSport ESPN 2
Sweden	16:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	16:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	17:30	Exxen
Turkmenistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	17:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	15:30	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	10:30	Paramount+
Uzbekistan	19:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+


	Hull City		Middlesbrough

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.5	1.81	Watch
	4.1	3.4	1.93
	4.12	3.54	1.9
	4.36	3.57	1.92
	4.12	3.54	1.9	Watch
	4	3.3	1.91
	4.28	3.58	1.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.56)	3.49 ↑ (3.42)	1.9 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hull City
22.9%

Draw
27.2%

Middlesbrough
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.5%

27.6%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

27.3%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hull City than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Hull City - Middlesbrough Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Hull will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pandur I. (G) 6. Ajayi S. 15. Egan J. 4. Hughes C. 2. Coyle L. (C) 27. Slater R. 25. Crooks M. 3. Giles R. 10. Belloumi M. 7. Millar L. 9. McBurnie O.	31. Brynn S. (G) 12. Ayling L. 6. Fry D. (C) 29. Malanda A. 2. Brittain C. 18. Morris A. 16. Browne A. 3. Targett M. 11. Whittaker M. 8. McGree R. 13. Strelec D.
Substitutes
26. Dowell K. 18. Drameh C. 21. Gelhardt J. 20. Hadziahmetovic A. 13. Hirakawa Y. 36. Koumas L. 5. Lundstram J. 37. McNair P. 12. Phillips D. (G)	23. Castledine L. 25. Edmundson G. 14. Gilbert A. 7. Hackney H. 27. Hansen S. 44. Ibeh C. 45. Sarmiento J. 22. Silvera S. 32. Wildsmith J. (G)
Coaches
Jakirovic S.	Hellberg K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Millar L. ↓, Gelhardt J. ↑,
70', Strelec D. ↓, Hackney H. ↑,
76', McGree R. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
76', Giles R. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
77', Belloumi M. ↓, Drameh C. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 0, McBurnie O. ⚽,
90+6', McBurnie O. 🟨,
90+7', Targett M. ↓, Ibeh C. ↑,
90+7', Browne A. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
90+8', Coyle L. ↓, McNair P. ↑,
90+8', Slater R. ↓, Lundstram J. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hull won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Middlesbrough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Middlesbrough is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hull won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hull won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	12	7	4	1	27:17	10	25

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Middlesbrough: 25.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Middlesbrough - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.83%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hull City
English League Championship
11.05.26	Millwall - Hull City	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Hull City - Millwall	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Hull City - Norwich City	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Charlton Athletic - Hull City	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Leicester City - Hull City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WTWLT
- Middlesbrough FC
English League Championship
12.05.26	Southampton - Middlesbrough	2:1 ET ✺
09.05.26	Middlesbrough - Southampton	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Wrexham - Middlesbrough	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Middlesbrough - Watford	5:1 ✺
22.04.26	Middlesbrough - Sheffield Wednesday	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.12.25	Middlesbrough - Hull City	0:1
05.12.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	1:4
01.01.25	Hull City - Middlesbrough	0:1
30.11.24	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1
10.04.24	Hull City - Middlesbrough	2:2
13.12.23	Middlesbrough - Hull City	1:2
19.04.23	Middlesbrough - Hull City	3:1

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