Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Bet365 Stadium (Stoke on Trent)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Stoke City		Hull City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.20	2.70
	2.9	3.2	2.32	Watch
	2.73	3.23	2.8
	2.69	3.19	2.73	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.7
	2.73	3.2	2.78	Watch
	2.75	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)	3.19 ↓ (3.3)	2.69 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stoke City
35%

Draw
29.7%

Hull City
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33%

28.5%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Hull City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	22.2%	50%

Stoke City - Hull City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Hull will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hull: 26.9% – 73.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Griffiths J. (G) 2. Johnson B. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 5. Graham L. 52. Giani L. 4. Pearson B. 8. Galbraith E. 42. Manhoef M. 19. Rigo T. 7. Thomas S. 9. Bozenik R.	12. Phillips D. (G) 18. Drameh C. 22. Herrington L. 17. McNair P. 23. Targett M. 29. Gourna-Douath L. 14. Hjerto-Dahl J. 33. Omur A. 26. Dowell K. 7. Millar L. (C) 30. Akintola B.
Substitutes
43. Anderson F. 10. Bae Jun-Ho 34. Fielding F. (G) 20. Gallagher S. 15. Hirst G. 59. Kelly G. 18. Lawal B. 58. Martin T. 27. Soumare D.	10. Belloumi M. 15. Egan J. 3. Giles R. 32. Mendy N. 5. Morita H. 41. Sellars-Fleming T. 27. Slater R. 21. Stroud E. 19. Tzolakis K. (G)
Coaches
Robins M.	Jakirovic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 1 - 0, Bozenik R. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
45', 1 - 1, Dowell K. ⚽, Millar L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Galbraith E. ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
59', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
63', Bozenik R. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
64', Manhoef M. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
64', Johnson B. ↓, Lawal B. ↑,
77', Targett M. ↓, Stroud E. ↑,
77', Omur A. ↓, Belloumi M. ↑,
81', Dowell K. ↓, Sellars-Fleming T. ↑,
81', Akintola B. ↓, Slater R. ↑,
81', Giani L. ↓, Anderson F. ↑,
82', Herrington L. 🟨,
90+5', Hirst G. 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Thomas S. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Morita H. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gallagher S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, McNair P. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Lawal B. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Stroud E. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hirst G. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Millar L. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Soumare D. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Belloumi M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 3.

Stoke has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hull is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Stoke has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A. (Hamstring Injury) Cresswell A. (Injury) Tchamadeu J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Hull: Butland J. (Arm Injury) Gelhardt J. (Ankle Injury) Gyabi D. (Groin Injury) Hughes C. (Groin Injury) Jacob M. (Hip Injury) Matazo E. (Knee Injury) Zambrano O. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Stoke: Cisse L. (Knock) Lawal B. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Hull: Coyle L. (Ankle Injury) Mendy N. (Muscle Injury) Morita H. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Stoke won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.6:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Stoke City - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.95%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Hull City - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.55%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stoke City
English League Championship
22.08.26	Southampton - Stoke City	3:1 ✺
15.08.26	Stoke City - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup
08.08.26	Stoke City - Oldham Athletic	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Stoke City - Valencia	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Stoke City - Everton	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWTW
- Hull City
English Premier League
22.08.26	Hull City - Manchester United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Hull City - Nice	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	Kasımpaşa - Hull City	1:1 ✺
28.07.26	Çaykur Rizespor - Hull City	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Konyaspor - Hull City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
01.01.26	Hull City - Stoke City	0:1
29.11.25	Stoke City - Hull City	1:2
01.02.25	Hull City - Stoke City	1:2
20.09.24	Stoke City - Hull City	1:3
29.03.24	Hull City - Stoke City	0:2
24.09.23	Stoke City - Hull City	1:3
11.02.23	Stoke City - Hull City	0:0

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