Match Info

Premier League - Round 36

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday


	Mechal		Ethiopian Medhin

	1	X	2
	2.00	2.70	3.90
	2.04	2.90	3.60
	2.06	2.86	4.00
	2.21	2.52	4.23	Watch
	2.05	2.62	3.80
	2.12	2.96	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)	2.76 ↓ (2.88)	3.83 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mechal
43.5%

Draw
32.8%

Ethiopian Medhin
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

31.2%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

31.3%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mechal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ethiopian Medhin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopian Medhin than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Abera M. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Mechal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Mechal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mechal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Mechal won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mechal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Ethiopian Insurance	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
14.06.26	Saint George - Mechal	3:0 ✺
28.05.26	Mechal - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Mechal	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Mechal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLTWT
- Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Premier League
30.05.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
Ethiopian Cup
26.05.26	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopian Medhin	3:2 penalties ✺
Ethiopian Premier League
19.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
15.05.26	Mekelle 70 Enderta - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
11.05.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.01.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	0:1
10.06.25	Ethiopian Medhin - Mechal	2:0
11.12.24	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	0:0

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