The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liaoning Tieren 41.4%
Draw 28.1%
Guangzhou Evergrande 30.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.8%
28.1%
40.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.9%
28%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.
Guangzhou Evergrande has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guangzhou Evergrande might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liaoning Tieren that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou Evergrande than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guangzhou Evergrande could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Guangzhou Evergrande will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 44. Chen Y. 24. Musa S. I. 5. Lin Longchang 41. Zheng Zhiyun 36. Tian D. 40. Ruan Qilong 22. Kunimoto T. 19. Gao Haisheng 25. Kouame A. S. 15. Joao Carlos
32. Huo S. (G) 15. Xu Bin 8. Sadauskas R. 18. Liao Jintao 5. Wang Shilong 16. Zhang Zhixiong 6. Hou Yu 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 14. Wu Yongqiang 17. Yang Hao 9. Alegria J.
Substitutes
26. Deng Biao 6. Duan Yunzi 2. Gui Zihan 37. Jiaming Z. 31. Jiang Feng 27. Liu Ziming 1. Li Xuebo (G) 32. Mao Kaiyu 16. Wang Tianci 12. Wu Jiongde (G) 10. Yang Jian 21. Zhan Sainan
30. Bai Yutao 22. Li Jiahao 3. Liu Langzhou 28. Penaloza J. 24. Qurban W. 13. Wang Jie 27. Wang Junyang 2. Wang Wenxuan 19. Wu Junjie 31. Wu Zitong (G) 23. Yang Dejiang 29. Zhang Dachi
Coaches
Li J.
Suay S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Alegria J. ⚽, Yang Hao (A),
30', Alegria J. 🟨,
43', Liao Jintao 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Zheng Zhiyun ↓, Duan Yunzi ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Zhang Zhixiong ⚽,
58', Chen Y. ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
59', Joao Carlos 🟨,
64', Wu Yongqiang ↓, Wang Wenxuan ↑,
71', Tian D. ↓, Yang Jian ↑,
78', Yang Hao ↓, Penaloza J. ↑,
88', Joao Carlos 🟨,
89', Wang Shilong 🟨,
90+2', Aniwar Abduwahap ↓, Bai Yutao ↑,
90+2', Zhang Zhixiong ↓, Wang Junyang ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 3).
Liaoning Tieren in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Guangzhou Evergrande is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Guangzhou Evergrande have a series of home games.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Liaoning Tieren won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 2:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Liaoning Tieren won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1
China
Watch
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Liu Weiguo (G) 
Musa S. I. 
Kunimoto T. 
Kouame A. S. 
Joao Carlos 
Sadauskas R. 
Alegria J. 
Suay S. 
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