Match Info

CHINA: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Qingdao West Coast

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.9	4.1
	1.63	4.33	4.5
	1.66	4.01	4.13
	1.66	4.01	4.13
	1.57	4.2	4.2
	1.68	4.3	3.99	Watch
	1.77	3.9	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (4.15)	4.09 ↑ (3.78)	4.09 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
55.3%

Draw
22.3%

Qingdao West Coast
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

24.1%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

19.9%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shijiazhuang Gongfu's performance.

Qingdao West Coast has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao West Coast might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shijiazhuang Gongfu that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao West Coast than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao West Coast could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao West Coast Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shijiazhuang Gongfu: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Kovacevic M. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Zhang Chenliang ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Tan Kaiyuan ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 2, Osmanjan Abduhelil ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Penalties (3 - 4)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
15.06.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Ningbo Professional	0:0 ✺
08.06.24	Yunnan Yukun - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	4:1 ✺
02.06.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	2:1 ✺
25.05.24	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Nanjing City	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
18.05.24	Hunan Billows - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWW
- Qingdao West Coast
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Qingdao West Coast - Wuhan Three Towns	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	7:0 ✺
22.05.24	Qingdao West Coast - Changchun Yatai	2:2 ✺
18.05.24	Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Port	3:5 ✺
12.05.24	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao West Coast	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
22.10.23	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao West Coast	1:1
08.07.23	Qingdao West Coast - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2
07.07.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao West Coast	3:1
22.06.22	Qingdao West Coast - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	3:0
Chinese Yi League
26.10.21	Qingdao West Coast - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:0
01.09.21	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao West Coast	0:0

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