Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Shijiazhuang Gongfu		Shaanxi Changan Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	2.95	3.2	2.18
	2.92	3.21	2.32
	2.96	3.18	2.33
	3.25	3.5	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.37)	3.24 ↑ (3.21)	2.18 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shijiazhuang Gongfu
30.1%

Draw
28.1%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

28.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.3%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shijiazhuang Gongfu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shijiazhuang Gongfu's form might have worsened.

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shaanxi Changan Athletic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shijiazhuang Gongfu than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shijiazhuang Gongfu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shaanxi Changan Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	22.7%	59.1%

Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shaanxi Changan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Shijiazhuang Gongfu will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shaanxi Changan: 38.6% – 79.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Shaanxi Chang'an have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shijiazhuang Gongfu won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Chinese Jia League
28.11.22	Ningbo Professional - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	4:2 ✺
25.11.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
21.11.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
16.11.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Meizhou Hakka	2:6 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.11.22	Nanjing City - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLT
- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
28.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2 ✺
24.11.22	Ningbo Professional - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:3 ✺
21.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nanjing City	0:1 ✺
12.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Heilongjiang Ice City	0:2 ✺
09.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
09.11.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:2

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