Match Info

Azerbaijan Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 1h 3m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Azerbaijan Cup 🌤️ ...


	Shimal		Araz Naxçıvan

	1	X	2
	4.1	4.2	1.57
	3.45	3.85	1.71
	2.57	3.73	2.33
	4.05	4.00	1.53
	6.69	4.45	1.36
	4.30	4.30	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (2.47)	4.09 ↑ (3.56)	1.68 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimal
22.1%

Draw
22.7%

Araz Naxçıvan
55.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.4%

25.2%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

24.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimal's form might have worsened.

Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Araz Naxçıvan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Araz Naxçıvan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Shimal - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Araz will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Shimal has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Araz has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Araz is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Shimal
Azerbaijan First Division
22.10.26	Shimal - Baku Sporting	5:2 ✺
15.10.26	Mingachevir - Shimal	1:4 ✺
09.10.26	Shimal - Xankəndi	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Shimal - Shahdag Qusar	1:4 ✺
11.09.26	MOIK Baku - Shimal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWTLT
- Araz Naxçıvan PFK
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.10.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Gabala	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Kapaz	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Shamakhi - Araz Naxçıvan	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Araz Naxçıvan - Turan Tovuz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLLT

Shimal - Araz Naxçıvan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Shimal - Araz Naxçıvan Predictions

Preview

Form

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