Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 29

Date: 18 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)


	Tokushima Vortis		Shimizu S-Pulse

	1	X	2
	5	3.1	1.83	Watch
	4.1	3	1.8
	4.5	3.2	1.85	Watch
	4.92	3.3	1.92
	4.24	3.18	1.94	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.83
	4.46	3.25	1.83	Watch
	4.5	3.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (4.03)	3.17 ↓ (3.52)	1.86 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
20.7%

Draw
29.3%

Shimizu S-Pulse
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

26.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

25.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S Pulse Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Shimizu will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tanaka H. (G) 3. Ishio R. 5. Mori K. 26. Aoki H. 19. Iwao K. 18. Elsinho 28. Kanuma N. 20. Kodama S. 77. Paula T. 8. Kakitani Y. 16. Watari D.	57. Gonda S. (G) 32. Takagi S. 3. Takahashi Y. 4. Hasukawa S. 5. Kitazume K. 36. Uno Z. 13. Miyamoto K. 28. Yoshida Y. 11. Lucas Braga 21. Yajima S. 9. Aziz
Substitutes
9. Browne N. 31. Hasegawa T. (G) 4. Kaique 41. Murakami Y. 54. Nagaki R. 17. Takada S. 2. Tamukai T.	33. Inui T. 23. Kitagawa K. 71. Nakamura R. 1. Oki Y. (G) 66. Sumiyoshi J. 99. Tanque D. 14. Yamahara R.
Coaches
Masuda K.	Akiba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Elsinho 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', Aziz ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
55', Yajima S. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
57', Kakitani Y. ↓, Kaique ↑,
57', Elsinho ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
57', Watari D. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Kanuma N. ⚽, Murakami Y. (A),
69', Paula T. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
69', Yoshida Y. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
69', Lucas Braga ↓, Tanque D. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Tanque D. ⚽,
75', Uno Z. ↓, Nakamura R. ↑,
75', Ishio R. ↓, Nagaki R. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Tanque D. ⚽, Inui T. (A),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 1.

Recent matches Tokushima is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimizu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shimizu is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
14.09.24	Tokushima Vortis - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
07.09.24	Renofa Yamaguchi - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Yokohama FC - Tokushima Vortis	2:0 ✺
17.08.24	Tokushima Vortis - Fagiano Okayama	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Montedio Yamagata - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTL
- Shimizu S-Pulse
Japan J2 League
14.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Renofa Yamaguchi	4:1 ✺
07.09.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
24.08.24	Kagoshima United - Shimizu S-Pulse	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
03.04.24	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
03.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
03.05.23	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:1
Japan J League Cup
13.04.22	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	4:1
02.03.22	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	1:1
Japan J1 League
11.07.21	Tokushima Vortis - Shimizu S-Pulse	2:2
04.04.21	Shimizu S-Pulse - Tokushima Vortis	0:3

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