Match Info

FNL - Round 16

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)


	Shinnik		Spartak Kostroma

	1	X	2
	2.94	2.97	2.67
	3.06	3.05	2.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↓ (3.11)	3.01 ↑ (2.94)	2.61 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
31.8%

Draw
31.7%

Spartak Kostroma
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

32.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

32.7%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Spartak Kostroma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Kostroma than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Spartak Kostroma will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 4. Bozov N. 50. Golubev A. (C) 77. Gongapshev A. 62. Karpov V. 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 8. Kul R. 55. Lystsov V. 5. Malyarov K. 9. Stefanovich I.	86. Korets N. (G) 7. Bokov D. 3. Bugriev S. (C) 69. Chursin K. 35. Enin I. 18. Ignatiev M. 6. Kaplenko K. 78. Kiselev G. 8. Sadov D. 55. Saplinov A. 4. Supranovich N.
Substitutes
27. Chernyi A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 88. Mironov D. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	23. Chikanchi M. 56. Demyanov V. 68. Gaydash M. (G) 99. Gharibyan A. 17. Kalachev I. 80. Khorin A. A. 24. Kudryashov I. 66. Makarenko Y. 11. Nazarenko E. 22. Nemchenko A. 85. Puchkov S. 57. Tlekhugov M.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Bondar S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Kaplenko K. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Gongapshev A. ⚽,
43', Malyarov K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Enin I. ↓, Nemchenko A. ↑,
59', Sadov D. ↓, Chikanchi M. ↑,
66', Bokov D. ↓, Tlekhugov M. ↑,
68', Karpov V. ↓, Chernyi A. ↑,
68', Gongapshev A. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Gharibyan A. ⚽,
73', 1 - 2, Saplinov A. ⚽,
77', Golubev A. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
79', Chursin K. ↓, Demyanov V. ↑,
82', Malyarov K. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
82', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
84', Demyanov V. 🟨,
87', 2 - 2, Kornyushin D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Spartak Kostroma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Shinnik - Fakel	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Shinnik - Rotor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLLLW
- Spartak Kostroma
Russian FNL
19.10.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Spartak Kostroma - KAMAZ	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ufa - Spartak Kostroma	0:0 ✺
29.09.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.09.25	KAMAZ - Spartak Kostroma	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.17	Spartak Kostroma - Shinnik	0:2
29.06.16	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	1:0

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