Match Info

FNL - Round 17

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Shinnik (Yaroslavl)


	Shinnik		Chelyabinsk

	1	X	2
	2.19	2.85	3.82	Watch
	2.42	2.74	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.61)	2.8 ↓ (2.94)	3.51 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shinnik
40.3%

Draw
33.2%

Chelyabinsk
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

32.5%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

33.5%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shinnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Shinnik - Chelyabinsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 55. Lystsov V. 2. Kosogorov A. 4. Bozov N. 5. Malyarov K. 64. Lanin O. 44. Kornyushin D. 50. Golubev A. (C) 8. Kul R. 9. Stefanovich I. 77. Gongapshev A.	93. Tuseev I. (G) 2. Zhirov A. (C) 27. Kochiev K. 5. Gatin B. 66. Gudkov Y. 19. Komissarov T. 77. Samoilov D. 70. Levin G. 18. Kertanov K. 15. Pushkarev D. 29. Urvantsev M.
Substitutes
27. Chernyi A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 88. Mironov D. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 10. Shipunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)	79. Abdullin R. 33. Agaev A. 23. Emelyanov D. 7. Malyarov N. 63. Nikitenkov A. 11. Nosov A. 72. Novikov O. (G) 14. Palkin V. 1. Zadiraka V. (G) 75. Zhamaletdinov T.
Coaches
Buloychik A.	Pilipchuk R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Kul R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Komissarov T. ↓, Zhamaletdinov T. ↑,
57', Kornyushin D. 🟨,
60', Lanin O. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
71', Kosogorov A. 🟨,
73', Stefanovich I. ↓, Mironov D. ↑,
73', Kosogorov A. ↓, Malakhov A. ↑,
76', Gatin B. ↓, Nosov A. ↑,
77', Kochiev K. 🟨,
87', Malyarov K. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
87', Samoilov D. ↓, Emelyanov D. ↑,
87', Kul R. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
89', Kotin N. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 7).

Recent form of Shinnik has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Chelyabinsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Shinnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shinnik is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Shinnik - Spartak Kostroma	2:2 ✺
20.10.25	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Shinnik - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
11.10.25	Shinnik - Fakel	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTLLL
- FC Chelyabinsk
Russian Cup
28.10.25	Chelyabinsk - KAMAZ	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
25.10.25	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
15.10.25	Rodina Moscow - Chelyabinsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
06.10.25	Chelyabinsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTWT

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