The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shinnik 50.5%
Draw 29.7%
Chayka Peschanokopskoye 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.3%
27.9%
17.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
21.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Chayka Peschanokopskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shinnik that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chayka Peschanokopskoye than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
51. Mitrov T. (G) 44. Kornyushin D. 2. Kosogorov A. 4. Bozov N. 5. Malyarov K. 55. Lystsov V. 8. Kul R. 15. Samoilov D. (C) 10. Shipunov T. 50. Golubev A. 9. Stefanovich I.
58. Fadeev S. (G) 55. Gapeev V. 39. Maslov P. (C) 6. Petin Y. 15. Rogochiy B. 8. Rosputko O. 10. Dzhebov A. 83. Ishchenko N. 18. Sokolov A. 7. Gulyaev E. 20. Biblik S.
Substitutes
27. Chernyi A. 77. Gongapshev A. 1. Ismagilov A. (G) 53. Kotin N. 61. Malakhov A. 88. Mironov D. 18. Miroshnichenko N. 23. Nafikov V. 11. Porokhov I. 6. Rukas A. 92. Shchelkunov T. 95. Vambolt D. (G)
89. Chervyakov R. 95. Gerdt A. 69. Gurylev A. 12. Ivannikov D. 19. Ivanov I. 14. Kaptilovich D. 96. Sorochinskiy I. (G) 38. Topinka S. 22. Uzhgin M.
Coaches
Buloychik A.
Kombarov D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Kul R. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Kornyushin D. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Bozov N. ⚽,
41', 3 - 1, Sokolov A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gapeev V. ↓, Ivannikov D. ↑,
57', Ishchenko N. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
58', Samoilov D. ↓, Gongapshev A. ↑,
61', 4 - 1, Kornyushin D. ⚽,
70', Shipunov T. ↓, Nafikov V. ↑,
75', Dzhebov A. ↓, Kaptilovich D. ↑,
80', Golubev A. ↓, Chernyi A. ↑,
80', Stefanovich I. ↓, Porokhov I. ↑,
80', Malyarov K. ↓, Kotin N. ↑,
84', Biblik S. ↓, Topinka S. ↑,
84', Gulyaev E. ↓, Gerdt A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2.
Shinnik has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Peschanokopskoye has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Shinnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Shinnik is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Shinnik won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Shinnik won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
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Mitrov T. (G) 
Rosputko O. 
Buloychik A. 
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