The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Matsumoto Yamaga 37.1%
Draw 27.2%
Albirex Niigata 35.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30%
25.1%
45%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
24.8%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matsumoto Yamaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matsumoto Yamaga's performance.
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Albirex Niigata might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matsumoto Yamaga than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matsumoto Yamaga that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Albirex Niigata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Matsumoto Yamaga - Albirex Niigata Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Koma R. (G) 16. Miyabe T. 43. Kaneko K. 6. Noda H. 30. Kitazume K. 36. Matsumura G. 15. Takano R. 48. Kawakami K. 8. Sawazaki R. 39. Inoue A. 17. Taguchi Y.
71. Uchiyama S. (G) 15. Hayakawa F. 38. Mori K. 77. Funaki K. 6. Kasai K. 22. Arai T. 19. Hoshi Y. 9. Iury Castilho 70. Maeda R. 14. Konagaya C. 18. Wakatsuki Y.
Substitutes
38. Fujieda K. 40. Higuchi D. 11. Kaneko S. 32. Kunori S. 13. Murakami H. 14. Rikiyasu S. 22. Saso K. 5. Shirai T. 21. Tomizawa M. (G)
5. Fitzgerald M. 40. Ishiyama A. 3. Kato T. 32. Kuwayama K. 41. Matsuura H. (G) 55. Moraes M. 7. Onishi Y. 17. Shimabuku K. 8. Shirai E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Takano R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Iury Castilho ↓, Moraes M. ↑,
58', Konagaya C. ↓, Shimabuku K. ↑,
61', Kasai K. 🟨,
63', Takano R. ↓, Higuchi D. ↑,
68', Taguchi Y. ↓, Fujieda K. ↑,
68', Sawazaki R. ↓, Murakami H. ↑,
68', Kasai K. ↓, Ishiyama A. ↑,
71', Kawakami K. 🟨,
81', Matsumura G. ↓, Kaneko S. ↑,
81', Kawakami K. ↓, Rikiyasu S. ↑,
82', Arai T. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
82', Wakatsuki Y. ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matsumoto Yamaga won 1.
In recent outings, Matsumoto Yamaga has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Albirex Niigata shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Matsumoto Yamaga has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:13 (averaging 0.8:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Matsumoto Yamaga against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1.5 per game).
Japan
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Koma R. (G) 
Iury Castilho 
Shimabuku K. 
