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Current Win Probability
Shonan Bellmare 26.1%
Draw 27.3%
Tokyo 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.1%
26.3%
42.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
25.6%
43.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.7%
25%
33.3%
Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 16.1% โ 74.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Popp W. (G) 4. Tachi K. 8. Ono K. 66. Matsumoto H. 37. Suzuki Y. 14. Barada A. 15. Okuno K. 28. Ota S. 10. Suzuki A. 13. Hiraoka T. 9. Oda Y.
81. Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 5. Nagatomo Y. 24. Scholz A. 44. Henrique Trevisan 6. Bangnagande K. 28. Nozawa L. 18. Hashimoto K. 37. Koizumi K. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 39. Nakagawa T. 26. Nagakura M.
Substitutes
50. Fujii T. 20. Ishibashi S. 77. Ishii H. 27. Luiz Phellype 72. Nitta R. 22. Oiwa K. 7. Onose K. 81. Yoshida S. (G) 6. Ze Ricardo
32. Doi K. 98. Everton Galdino 13. Hatano G. (G) 10. Higashi K. 77. Kitahara M. 19. Marcelo Ryan 30. Oka T. 27. Tokiwa K. 14. Yamashita K.
Coaches
Yamaguchi S.
Matsuhashi R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Okuno K. 🟨,
5', Ota S. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. ⚽, Henrique Trevisan (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Barada A. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
46', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Scholz A. (Pen),
57', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
61', Ono K. 🟨,
64', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
76', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
76', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
80', Kim Seung-Gyu 🟨,
85', Tachi K. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
87', Nozawa L. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Suzuki A. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tokyo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Muroya S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Shonan Bellmare - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31.11%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Popp W. (G) 
Kim Seung-Gyu (G) 
Scholz A. 
Henrique Trevisan 
