The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tokyo 47.7%
Draw 25.9%
Cerezo Osaka 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
25.9%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
28.5%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tokyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
87.5%
6.2%
6.2%
Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tanaka H. (G) 2. Muroya S. (C) 24. Scholz A. 17. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 16. Sato K. 37. Koizumi K. 27. Tokiwa K. 22. Endo K. 9. Marcelo Ryan 23. Sato R.
23. Nakamura K. (G) 27. Cools D. 4. Inoue R. 44. Hatanaka S. 6. Noborizato K. 8. Kagawa S. 10. Tanaka S. (C) 48. Shibayama M. 13. Nakajima M. 19. Homma S. 9. Sakuragawa S.
Substitutes
32. Doi K. 58. Goto W. (G) 10. Higashi K. 3. Morishige M. 28. Nozawa L. 11. Ogashiwa T. 15. Omori R. 33. Tawaratsumida K. 71. Yamada F.
39. Kanemoto W. 5. Kida H. 21. Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 2. Nakamura T. 66. Ohata A. 3. Tanaka H. 11. Thiago Andrade 7. Uejo S. 35. Yoshino K.
Coaches
Matsuhashi R.
Papas A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Homma S. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
29', Sato K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
35', 0 - 2, Sakuragawa S. (Penalty Awarded),
43', 0 - 3, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Noborizato K. ↓, Ohata A. ↑,
61', Endo K. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
61', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
62', 1 - 3, Sato R. ⚽, Nozawa L. (A),
66', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Thiago Andrade ↑,
67', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
69', Shibayama M. 🟨,
73', Hashimoto K. 🟨,
76', Koizumi K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
76', Tokiwa K. ↓, Ogashiwa T. ↑,
78', Homma S. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
79', Nakajima M. ↓, Uejo S. ↑,
89', Cools D. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
Recent performances by Tokyo have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cerezo Osaka is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Tokyo is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Bangnagande K.
(Muscle Injury)
Endo K.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L.
(Knee Injury)
Takahashi T.
(Back Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Nakagawa T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Fukui K.
(Elbow Injury)
Ohata A.
(Injury)
Okuda H.
(Ankle Injury)
Sakata R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Thiago Andrade
(Injury)
Yengi K.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:18. (average 1.6:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:7. (average 2.1:0.7).
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Tanaka H. (G) 
Scholz A. 
Marcelo Ryan 
Cools D. 
Kim Jin-Hyeon (G) 
Papas A. 
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