Match Info

J1 League - Round 4

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Vissel Kobe		Avispa Fukuoka

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.65	3.5	5.3	Watch
	1.68	3.68	5.92
	1.68	3.62	5.54	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5
	1.66	3.54	5.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	5.39 ↓ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
56.3%

Draw
26.4%

Avispa Fukuoka
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

26.9%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vissel Kobe: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Vissel Kobe (votes: 2 - 50%). Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 23. Hirose R. 43. Yamada K. 3. Thuler M. 41. Nagato K. 5. Goke Y. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 11. Muto Y. 29. Komatsu R. 13. Sasaki D. (C)	99. Obi P. O. (G) 5. Kamijima T. (C) 37. Tashiro M. 16. Oka T. 29. Maejima Y. 6. Shigemi M. 11. Miki T. 22. Fujimoto K. 18. Sato S. 14. Nago S. 9. Zahedi S.
Substitutes
16. Caetano 71. Gonda S. (G) 28. Hamasaki K. 44. Hidaka M. 18. Ide H. 2. Iino N. 14. Inui T. 80. Nduka B. 10. Osako Y.	41. Fujita K. (G) 47. Hashimoto Y. 25. Kitajima Y. 27. Michiwaki Y. 3. Nara T. 8. Okuno K. 15. Tsujioka Y. 7. Usui S. 33. Yamawaki K.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Tsukahara S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Miki T. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Sato S. ↓, Okuno K. ↑,
46', Kuwasaki Y. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
48', Zahedi S. 🟨,
53', 1 - 0, Muto Y. ⚽, Komatsu R. (A),
57', Zahedi S. ↓, Usui S. ↑,
57', Fujimoto K. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
60', 2 - 0, Komatsu R. ⚽, Sasaki D. (A),
72', Nago S. ↓, Kitajima Y. ↑,
74', Muto Y. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
74', Goke Y. ↓, Ide H. ↑,
84', Ideguchi Y. ↓, Hidaka M. ↑,
87', Shigemi M. 🟨,
87', Kamijima T. ↓, Tsujioka Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Hashimoto Y. ⚽,
90+1', Komatsu R. ↓, Caetano ↑,
90+1', Tashiro M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 3.

Vissel Kobe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Avispa Fukuoka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury) Ogihara T. (Injury) Osako Y. (Injury) Yamakawa T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Diego (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:6. (average 1.3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1:0.4).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Avispa Fukuoka: 0.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3

Last Results with these Odds

Vissel Kobe - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.48%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
21.02.26	Shimizu S-Pulse - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
17.02.26	Johor Darul Takzim - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
13.02.26	Vissel Kobe - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
10.02.26	Vissel Kobe - FC Seoul	2:0 ✺
Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWWT
- Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League
22.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Fagiano Okayama	2:1 penalties ✺
06.12.25	Nagoya Grampus - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
28.06.25	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:0
01.03.25	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1
01.09.24	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:2
15.05.24	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
25.06.23	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:3
18.02.23	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	1:0
01.10.22	Avispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe	0:1

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