Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI+
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport 2
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	SportKlub 1
Philippines	Cignal Play, Matchday+, Premier Football
Russia	Okko Sport, TV Start
Saudi-arabia	SSC Sports 1
Serbia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving, tvN Sports
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1, Sport 3
United-kingdom	Sport 24 International
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic, Triller TV+


	Vissel Kobe		Gwangju

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.63	3.45	5	Watch
	1.63	3.89	5.74
	1.61	3.8	5.54	Watch
	1.62	3.6	5
	1.65	3.8	5.46	Watch
	1.63	3.45	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	3.68 ↓ (3.88)	5.32 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
57.2%

Draw
25.3%

Gwangju
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

23.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

22%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Gwangju have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwangju than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Vissel Kobe - Gwangju Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Gwangju will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 23. Hirose R. 55. Iwanami T. 4. Yamakawa T. (C) 3. Thuler 18. Ide H. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 6. Ogihara T. 22. Sasaki D. 2. Iino N. 10. Osako Y.	1. Kim Kyung-Min (G) 27. Kim Jin-Ho 15. Byeon Jun-Soo 24. Lee K. 3. Lee Min-Ki (C) 7. Asani J. 90. Reis 55. Park Tae-Jun 13. Park Jeong-In 39. Min Sang-Gi 47. Kim Han-Gil
Substitutes
21. Arai S. (G) 52. Hamasaki K. 33. Hashimoto R. 44. Hidaka M. 20. Koike Y. 66. Matsuda R. 9. Miyashiro T. 65. Motoyama H. 32. Ubong R. (G) 30. Yamauchi K.	6. Ahn Young-Kyu 2. Cho Sung-Gwon 5. Jin Si-woo 80. Ju Se-Jong 42. Kang H. S. 45. Kwon Sung-Yun 12. Lee J. 88. Moon Min-seo 77. Oh Hoo-Sung 9. Park In-Hyeok 31. Roh Hee-Dong (G) 40. Shin Chang-Moo
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Lee Jung-Hyo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Osako Y. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Osako Y. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Ide H. ⚽, Osako Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kim Han-Gil ↓, Oh Hoo-Sung ↑,
46', Park Jeong-In ↓, Park In-Hyeok ↑,
62', Byeon Jun-Soo ↓, Jin Si-woo ↑,
78', Iino N. ↓, Yamauchi K. ↑,
79', Jin Si-woo 🟨,
79', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Cho Sung-Gwon ↑,
79', Lee K. ↓, Ju Se-Jong ↑,
89', Ide H. ↓, Hamasaki K. ↑,
89', Hirose R. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Vissel Kobe is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Gwangju is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gwangju could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Vissel Kobe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vissel Kobe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Including matches at home between the teams Vissel Kobe won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
01.03.25	Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka	0:1 ✺
26.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Nagoya Grampus - Vissel Kobe	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Shanghai Shenhua - Vissel Kobe	4:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
15.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Urawa Red Diamonds	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTTLT
- Gwangju FC
South Korean K-League 1
01.03.25	Gwangju - Anyang	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Gwangju	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League
18.02.25	Gwangju - Buriram United	2:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
15.02.25	Gwangju - Suwon	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.02.25	Shandong Taishan - Gwangju	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0

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