Match Info

J1 League - Round 12

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Noevir Stadium (Kobe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan
World	Onefootball


	Vissel Kobe		Kyoto Sanga

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.15	Watch
	1.86	3.63	4.71
	1.91	3.43	4.23	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.2
	1.81	3.48	4.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.74)	3.46 ↓ (3.57)	4.34 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vissel Kobe
51.2%

Draw
27.2%

Kyoto Sanga
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

26.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.2%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Vissel Kobe will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maekawa D. (G) 24. Sakai G. (C) 80. Nduka B. 3. Thuler M. 16. Caetano 44. Hidaka M. 7. Ideguchi Y. 15. Diego 11. Muto Y. 10. Osako Y. 13. Sasaki D.	1. Ota G. (G) 34. Henrique Trevisan 50. Suzuki Y. 3. Asada S. 77. Arai H. 6. Joao Pedro 25. Yoon S. 22. Sugai H. 16. Hiraoka T. 99. Honda F. 9. Rafael Elias (C)
Substitutes
5. Goke Y. 71. Gonda S. (G) 23. Hirose R. 2. Iino N. 14. Inui T. 29. Komatsu R. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 19. Mitsuta M. 41. Nagato K.	39. Hirato T. 40. Ishida Y. 21. Kakoi K. (G) 18. Matsuda T. 93. Nagasawa S. 48. Nakano R. 44. Sato K. 17. Souza Alex 8. Yonemoto T.
Coaches
Skibbe M.	Jo Gwi-Jae

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hidaka M. ↓, Hirose R. ↑,
60', Hiraoka T. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
60', Asada S. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
61', Honda F. ↓, Souza Alex ↑,
67', Diego ↓, Nagato K. ↑,
76', Sakai G. ↓, Mitsuta M. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Henrique Trevisan (Own goal),
84', Arai H. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
88', Sugai H. ↓, Ishida Y. ↑,
90+5', Mitsuta M. 🟨,
90+6', Sasaki D. ↓, Goke Y. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

In this match, Vissel Kobe is the team to beat.

There will not play in Vissel Kobe: Arai S. (Knee Injury) Iwanami T. (Leg Injury) Tominaga N. (Injury)

There will not play in Kyoto: Fukuoka S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Vissel Kobe: Ogihara T. (Injury) Yamakawa T. (Injury)

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Vissel Kobe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Vissel Kobe won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Vissel Kobe: 20.95% Kyoto: 1.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7
14	Kyoto	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
10.05.26	Vissel Kobe - Fagiano Okayama	0:3 ✺
06.05.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe	1:2 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	5:0 ✺
29.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Cerezo Osaka	0:1 penalties ✺
AFC Champions League
20.04.26	Vissel Kobe - Al-Ahli Jeddah	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLLL
- Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League
10.05.26	Nagoya Grampus - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
06.05.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Kyoto Sanga	2:1 penalties ✺
02.05.26	Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Kyoto Sanga - Gamba Osaka	2:1 penalties ✺
18.04.26	Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
06.02.26	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	1:1
06.12.25	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:0
26.02.25	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
27.10.24	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	2:1
Japan J1 League
06.10.24	Kyoto Sanga - Vissel Kobe	2:3
27.04.24	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	0:1
03.09.23	Vissel Kobe - Kyoto Sanga	2:1

Upcoming Matches