Match Info

Date: 25 September 2021, Saturday


	Shrewsbury Town		AFC Wimbledon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.8
	2.7	3.2	2.55
	2.55	3.4	2.75
	2.55	3.05	2.8
	2.61	3.29	2.9
	2.6	3.1	2.62
	2.64	3.34	2.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.48)	3.25 ↓ (3.33)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
36.6%

Draw
29.1%

AFC Wimbledon
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

20.4%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for AFC Wimbledon have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shrewsbury Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Wimbledon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Shrewsbury Town - AFC Wimbledon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).

Shrewsbury has the most likely position - 24 (15.82%), has project points - 48, has currently - 5, has a chance of relegated (46%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Wimbledon has the most likely position - 15 (5.45%), has project points - 60, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Wimbledon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
18.09.21	Sheffield Wednesday - Shrewsbury Town	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:1 ✺
04.09.21	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
31.08.21	Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
English League One
28.08.21	Shrewsbury Town - Gillingham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLLW
- AFC Wimbledon
English League Cup
22.09.21	Arsenal - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
English League One
18.09.21	AFC Wimbledon - Plymouth Argyle	0:1 ✺
11.09.21	Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon	3:4 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.09.21	AFC Wimbledon - Portsmouth	5:3 ✺
English League One
04.09.21	AFC Wimbledon - Oxford United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
02.03.21	Shrewsbury Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:1
17.10.20	AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town	0:1
14.09.19	AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
02.03.19	Shrewsbury Town - AFC Wimbledon	0:0
03.11.18	AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town	1:2
24.03.18	Shrewsbury Town - AFC Wimbledon	1:0
12.08.17	AFC Wimbledon - Shrewsbury Town	0:1

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