The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Shrewsbury Town 33.1%
Draw 28.1%
Crewe Alexandra 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
28.3%
32.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
28.3%
32.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shrewsbury Town's form might have worsened.
Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crewe Alexandra's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shrewsbury Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crewe Alexandra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Shrewsbury Town - Crewe Alexandra Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
1. Cox M. (G) 20. Kabia I. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. (C) 3. Benning M. 30. Berkoe K. 10. Sang T. 7. McDermott T. 6. Clucas S. 9. Lloyd G. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
41. Lawlor I. (G) 2. Billington L. 25. Pond A. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 3. Hutchinson R. 6. Sanders M. H. 20. Agius C. 26. O'Reilly T. 7. Lankester J. 24. March J. 36. Tezgel E.
Substitutes
12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 43. Gray W. 48. Ihionvien B. 23. Lee I. 11. Scully A. 26. Stubbs S.
9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 18. Connolly J. 14. Finney C. 17. Holicek M. 23. Powell J. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Cowan G.
Bell L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Cox M. (Own goal),
8', 0 - 2, March J. ⚽, Lankester J. (A),
45+1', Lankester J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Lankester J. ↓, Holicek M. ↑,
61', Benning M. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, March J. ⚽, Tezgel E. (A),
64', March J. 🟨,
70', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Scully A. ↑,
70', 0 - 4, Tezgel E. ⚽, Billington L. (A),
71', Tezgel E. 🟨,
74', McDermott T. ↓, Gray W. ↑,
77', Tezgel E. ↓, Thibaut A. ↑,
77', O'Reilly T. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
77', March J. ↓, Connolly J. ↑,
77', Sanders M. H. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 18 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Inactive)
Hoole L.
(Injury)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
Perry T.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O.
(Inactive)
Tabiner J.
(Knee Injury)
Tracey S.
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Crewe
13
5
6
2
16:16
0
21
10
Shrewsbury
13
5
3
5
16:20
-4
18
Outrights of English League Two for now
Crewe: 5.98% Shrewsbury: 2.11%
Last Results with these Odds
Crewe Alexandra - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.7%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Cox M. (G) 
Kabia I. 
Boyle W. (C) 
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 
Lawlor I. (G) 
Agius C. 
Lee I. 
Holicek M. 
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