The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 39.7%
Draw 29.7%
Shrewsbury Town 30.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.8%
28.6%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
28.6%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Users Predictions:
Accrington Stanley will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%). Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Wright O. (G) 25. Smith J. 5. Rawson F. 3. Sass F. 38. O'Brien C. 28. Conneely S. 10. Henderson A. 30. Heath I. 20. Brown C. 7. Whalley S. (C) 8. Madden P.
1. Cox M. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. (C) 3. Benning M. 10. Sang T. 7. McDermott T. 25. Ruffels J. 30. Berkoe K. 14. Perry T. 9. Lloyd G. 19. Morgan I.
Substitutes
27. Abimbola D. 26. Hall C. 1. Kelly M. (G) 22. Martin D. 19. Popoola A.
4. Anderson T. 12. Brook W. (G) 6. Clucas S. 16. Freeman N. 22. Ojinnaka T. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 26. Stubbs S.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Cowan G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Morgan I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 2, Hoole L. ⚽, Benning M. (A),
52', Heath I. 🟨,
61', Conneely S. 🟨,
68', Morgan I. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
74', Smith J. 🟨,
78', Smith J. ↓, Abimbola D. ↑,
85', McDermott T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
85', Henderson A. ↓, Popoola A. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
Accrington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shrewsbury has had a series of home games.
Accrington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Accrington: Butterfield L.
(Red Card)
Coyle L.
(Inactive)
Love D.
(Yellow Cards)
Woods J.
(Red Card)
There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B.
(Inactive)
Marquis J.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Accrington: Mooney K.
(Inactive)
Sinclair I.
(Inactive)
Walton T.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Clucas S.
(Injury)
Ojinnaka T.
(Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
Outrights of English League Two for now
Shrewsbury: 0.72% Accrington: 0.65%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
Accrington
10
2
5
3
13:14
-1
11
18
Shrewsbury
10
3
2
5
9:15
-6
11
Last Results with these Odds
Accrington Stanley - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.82%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Wright O. (G) 
O'Brien C. 
Hoole L. 
Boyle W. (C) 
Ojinnaka T. 
Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 
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