Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 18

Date: 4 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Shrewsbury Town		Blackpool

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2
	3.3	3.6	2
	3.4	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.53	3.75	2.09
	3.41	3.62	2.02	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.47	3.66	2.04
	3.4	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.44)	3.6 ↑ (3.57)	2.04 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
27.6%

Draw
26.2%

Blackpool
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

26.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

26.3%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Blackpool aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	16.7%	58.3%

Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Blackpool will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackpool: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savin T. (G) 2. Hoole L. 22. Nsiala A. 16. Pierre A. 3. Benning M. 17. Gilliead A. 7. Winchester C. (C) 14. Perry T. 19. Castledine L. 18. Bloxham T. 27. Marquis J.	30. Tyrer H. (G) 24. Offiah O. 5. Pennington M. 26. Ashworth Z. 3. Husband J. 25. Apter R. 7. Evans L. 17. Onomah J. 11. Fletcher A. 9. Joseph K. 8. Morgan A.
Substitutes
9. Lloyd G. 23. Nurse G. 12. Ojo F. 29. O'Reilly T. 4. Rossiter J. 26. Shipley J. 13. Young J. (G)	19. Ballard D. 41. Bondo T. 14. Embleton E. 28. Finnigan R. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 23. Thompson D.
Coaches
Ainsworth G.	Bruce S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Benning M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Perry T. (Own goal),
57', 1 - 2, Onomah J. ⚽, Fletcher A. (A),
66', Pierre A. 🟨,
78', Castledine L. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
78', Bloxham T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
79', Apter R. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
79', Onomah J. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
82', Benning M. 🟨,
84', Perry T. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
85', Fletcher A. ↓, Bondo T. ↑,
85', Morgan A. ↓, Finnigan R. ↑,
86', Gilliead A. 🟨,
90+1', Tyrer H. 🟨,
90+8', Joseph K. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 3.

Shrewsbury is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Blackpool is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blackpool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Blackpool will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:9 (average 0.9:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:2 (average 0.9:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
23.11.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	3:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	3:0 ✺
English League One
09.11.24	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Salford City - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WLLLL
- Blackpool
English FA Cup
01.12.24	Blackpool - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English League One
26.11.24	Bristol Rovers - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
23.11.24	Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
16.11.24	Blackpool - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
12.11.24	Harrogate Town - Blackpool	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
02.03.24	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	0:2
18.11.23	Blackpool - Shrewsbury Town	4:0
24.04.21	Blackpool - Shrewsbury Town	0:1
29.12.20	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	1:0
21.12.19	Blackpool - Shrewsbury Town	0:1
19.01.19	Blackpool - Shrewsbury Town	0:0
18.08.18	Shrewsbury Town - Blackpool	0:0

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