Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 15

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Pirelli Stadium (Burton upon Trent)

Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Burton Albion		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.46	3.6
	2.09	3.37	3.46	Watch
	2.2	3.4	3.3
	2.17	3.44	3.32	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)	3.4 ↓ (3.44)	3.37 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burton Albion
44.2%

Draw
27.8%

Shrewsbury Town
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

26.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burton Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burton Albion than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Burton will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burton: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crocombe M. (G) 21. Bannon A. 15. Vancooten T. 6. Sweeney R. 17. Armer J. 4. Watt E. (C) 8. Webster C. 7. Kalinauskas T. 11. Bodin B. 32. Bennett M. 9. Orsi-Dadomo D.	1. Savin T. (G) 23. Nurse G. 16. Pierre A. 6. Feeney J. 3. Benning M. 7. Winchester C. (C) 17. Gilliead A. 4. Rossiter J. 19. Castledine L. 18. Bloxham T. 27. Marquis J.
Substitutes
23. Bran Flores A. J. 16. Cooper-Love J. 2. Godwin-Malife U. 13. Isted H. (G) 20. Sraha J. 34. Whitfield B.	2. Hoole L. 9. Lloyd G. 12. Ojo F. 29. O'Reilly T. 14. Perry T. 26. Shipley J. 13. Young J. (G)
Coaches
Hounsell T.	Hurst P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kalinauskas T. ⚽, Watt E. (A),
19', Webster C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Orsi-Dadomo D. ⚽, Watt E. (A),
64', Webster C. ↓, Godwin-Malife U. ↑,
67', Castledine L. ↓, O'Reilly T. ↑,
68', Nurse G. ↓, Shipley J. ↑,
68', Winchester C. ↓, Perry T. ↑,
74', Bodin B. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
77', Rossiter J. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
77', Marquis J. ↓, Ojo F. ↑,
85', Orsi-Dadomo D. ↓, Bran Flores A. J. ↑,
85', Bannon A. ↓, Sraha J. ↑,
86', Lloyd G. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Burton won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Shrewsbury could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Burton will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Burton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.8:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Burton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:11 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burton Albion
English League One
05.11.24	Burton Albion - Crawley Town	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Burton Albion - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Cambridge United - Burton Albion	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Burton Albion - Wycombe Wanderers	2:3 ✺
19.10.24	Bolton Wanderers - Burton Albion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Salford City - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
English League One
26.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
17.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
29.12.23	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	1:0
15.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	2:1
14.01.23	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	0:4
24.09.22	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	2:1
26.02.22	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	0:2
07.08.21	Shrewsbury Town - Burton Albion	0:1
23.03.21	Burton Albion - Shrewsbury Town	1:2

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