Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 14

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)


	Shrewsbury Town		Barnsley

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.91	Watch
	3.4	3.6	2
	3.75	3.6	1.95	Watch
	3.68	3.84	1.97
	3.55	3.73	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.6	2
	3.63	3.76	1.96	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↓ (3.9)	3.67 ↑ (3.58)	1.96 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
26%

Draw
25.8%

Barnsley
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.4%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

25.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Barnsley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnsley than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	22.2%	66.7%

Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Barnsley will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnsley: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Savin T. (G) 22. Nsiala A. 16. Pierre A. 5. Feeney M. (C) 17. Gilliead A. 12. Ojo F. 4. Rossiter J. 23. Nurse G. 14. Perry T. 18. Bloxham T. 9. Lloyd G.	23. Killip B. (G) 6. de Gevigney M. 5. Pines D. 4. Roberts M. 7. O'Keeffe C. 48. Connell L. 3. Russell J. 17. Gent G. 40. Keillor-Dunn D. 44. Humphrys S. 36. Watters M.
Substitutes
3. Benning M. 19. Castledine L. 6. Feeney J. 2. Hoole L. 27. Marquis J. 29. O'Reilly T. 11. Sagoe Jr C.	2. Cotter B. 18. Craig M. 11. Jalo F. 15. Lofthouse K. 21. McCarthy C. 50. Nwakali K. 1. Slonina G. (G)
Coaches
Hurst P.	Clarke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', Pierre A. ↓, Feeney J. ↑,
44', Pines D. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Russell J. ⚽, Connell L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 2, Watters M. ⚽, O'Keeffe C. (A),
59', Perry T. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
60', Rossiter J. ↓, Castledine L. ↑,
64', Gent G. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
64', Watters M. ↓, Craig M. ↑,
81', Humphrys S. ↓, Jalo F. ↑,
90', Connell L. ↓, Nwakali K. ↑,
90+2', Nsiala A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 0.

Shrewsbury is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barnsley is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnsley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Barnsley will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Shrewsbury won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Shrewsbury won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:6 (average 1:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 24.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League One
22.10.24	Bristol Rovers - Shrewsbury Town	1:0 ✺
17.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Crawley Town - Shrewsbury Town	3:5 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Shrewsbury Town - Birmingham City	0:4 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Bolton Wanderers - Shrewsbury Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWLT
- Barnsley FC
English League One
22.10.24	Barnsley - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Blackpool - Barnsley	1:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
English League One
05.10.24	Huddersfield Town - Barnsley	2:0 ✺
01.10.24	Barnsley - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.02.24	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	1:1
24.10.23	Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town	3:0
10.04.23	Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
12.11.22	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	0:1
19.04.19	Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town	2:1
23.10.18	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	3:1
16.01.16	Shrewsbury Town - Barnsley	0:3

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